AFC Telford United v Oxford City Prediction & Expected Goals (8 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultOxford City to win ✗39% · @2.90

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.57

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.10

AFC Telford United vs Oxford City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Tuesday 8 September: AFC Telford United v Oxford City in the National League North, played at New Bucks Head. In the table, AFC Telford United are 11th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Oxford City are 3rd (among the top four) with 28.

Current form

AFC Telford United, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Scarborough Athletic, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Oxford City, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Chorley, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Oxford City, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for AFC Telford United.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Feb 2026) it ended Oxford City 0–0 AFC Telford United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AFC Telford United 1.3 xG, Oxford City 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Telford United 39%, draw 23%, Oxford City 39%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Oxford City to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Telford United 1–1 Oxford City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AFC Telford United39%fair 2.60 · @2.25

Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.20

Oxford City39%fair 2.58 · @2.90

2.67Expected goals

1.33AFC Telford United xG

1.34Oxford City xG

58%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–19%

1–09%

1–28%

2–18%

0–07%

From our goals model: AFC Telford United 1.3 – 1.3 Oxford City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Oxford City to win ✗	39%	2.58	2.90 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.29	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	58%	1.72	1.57
Draw no bet	Oxford City (draw no bet) ✗	50%	1.99	–
Asian handicap	AFC Telford United +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	74%	1.34	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	51%	1.95	1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	70%	1.43	1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
First team to score	Oxford City to score first ✗	47%	2.14	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	42%	2.35	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Oxford City / FT Oxford City ✗	21%	4.66	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.10	–

AFC Telford United – last 6

WLLDDL

5 Sep	@ Scarborough Athletic	1–0	W
31 Aug	vs Bedford Town	0–1	L
28 Aug	@ Morecambe	1–2	L
22 Aug	vs Hednesford Town	1–1	D
18 Aug	@ Merthyr Town	2–2	D
15 Aug	@ Worksop Town	1–2	L

1.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Oxford City – last 6

WWLWDW

5 Sep	vs Chorley	4–0	W
31 Aug	@ Worksop Town	1–0	W
28 Aug	vs Buxton	2–3	L
22 Aug	@ Spennymoor Town	4–1	W
18 Aug	vs Harborough Town	1–1	D
15 Aug	@ Spalding United	1–0	W

2.2Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Shields	15	10	2	3	+10	32
2	Hereford	16	9	3	4	+14	30
3	Oxford City	15	8	4	3	+15	28
4	Macclesfield	13	8	3	2	+10	27
5	Hednesford Town	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	King's Lynn Town	16	8	3	5	+6	27
7	Buxton	16	8	3	5	+5	27
8	Chester	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Morecambe	16	7	3	6	+5	24
10	Bedford Town	14	7	1	6	-2	22
11	AFC Telford United	16	6	4	6	-4	22
12	Spalding United	15	6	3	6	+3	21
13	Chorley	15	6	2	7	-1	20
14	Worksop Town	15	6	2	7	-1	20
15	Hebburn Town	15	5	5	5	-8	20
16	Marine	15	6	1	8	0	19
17	Merthyr Town	16	4	7	5	-1	19
18	Brackley Town	16	5	4	7	-9	19
19	Harborough Town	14	4	5	5	-4	17
20	Scarborough Athletic	16	4	4	8	-3	16
21	Radcliffe	15	5	1	9	-8	16
22	Darlington 1883	16	3	3	10	-9	12
23	Southport	15	2	4	9	-15	10
24	Spennymoor Town	15	2	4	9	-15	10

Team

Pts

+10

+14

+15

+10

-2

-4

-1

-1

-8

-1

-9

-4

-3

-8

-9

-15

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AFC Telford United vs Oxford City?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win AFC Telford United vs Oxford City?

On our numbers AFC Telford United have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Oxford City 39%.

How many goals will there be in AFC Telford United vs Oxford City?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AFC Telford United vs Oxford City?

Our predicted score is AFC Telford United 1–1 Oxford City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is AFC Telford United vs Oxford City?

AFC Telford United vs Oxford City (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at New Bucks Head.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

AFC Telford United v Oxford City: numbers & prediction