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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chorley v Darlington 1883: numbers & prediction

National League North · England · Victory Park

Chorley

LDDWW
5–2
FT
Chorley 47%Draw 21%Darlington 1883 32% Expected goals 1.66 – 1.34
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultChorley to win ✓47% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.87

Chorley vs Darlington 1883: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Chorley welcome Darlington 1883 to Victory Park for a National League North fixture on Tuesday 8 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, Chorley are 13th, lower half, on 20 points after 15 matches; Darlington 1883 are 22nd (in the drop zone) with 12.

Current form

Chorley, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Oxford City, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Darlington 1883, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to King's Lynn Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chorley 1.7 xG, Darlington 1883 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chorley 47%, draw 21%, Darlington 1883 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chorley 1–1 Darlington 1883. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chorley47%fair 2.15 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.50
Darlington 188332%fair 3.09 · @2.88
3.00Expected goals
1.66Chorley xG
1.34Darlington 1883 xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Chorley 1.7 – 1.3 Darlington 1883 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChorley to win ✓47%2.152.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.50
Draw no betChorley (draw no bet) ✓59%1.70–
Asian handicapDarlington 1883 +1 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.741.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.561.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.23–
First team to scoreChorley to score first ✓53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.53–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chorley / FT Chorley ✓27%3.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.87–

Recent results

Chorley – last 6

LDDWWL
5 Sep@ Oxford City0–4L
31 Augvs Brackley Town2–2D
29 Aug@ Merthyr Town1–1D
22 Augvs Scarborough Athletic2–1W
18 Aug@ Marine2–0W
15 Aug@ South Shields1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Darlington 1883 – last 6

LWLLLW
5 Sepvs King's Lynn Town0–2L
31 Aug@ Radcliffe1–0W
29 Augvs Macclesfield1–2L
22 Aug@ Harborough Town2–4L
18 Augvs Chester0–1L
15 Aug@ Bedford Town3–2W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chorley and Darlington 1883.

Chorley vs Darlington 1883 head-to-head page →

National League North table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1South Shields151023+1032
2Hereford16934+1430
3Oxford City15843+1528
4Macclesfield13832+1027
5Hednesford Town16835+827
6King's Lynn Town16835+627
7Buxton16835+527
8Chester15825+426
9Morecambe16736+524
10Bedford Town14716-222
11AFC Telford United16646-422
12Spalding United15636+321
13Chorley15627-120
14Worksop Town15627-120
15Hebburn Town15555-820
16Marine15618019
17Merthyr Town16475-119
18Brackley Town16547-919
19Harborough Town14455-417
20Scarborough Athletic16448-316
21Radcliffe15519-816
22Darlington 1883163310-912
23Southport15249-1510
24Spennymoor Town15249-1510

More National League North predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chorley vs Darlington 1883?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Chorley vs Darlington 1883?

On our numbers Chorley have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Darlington 1883 32%.

How many goals will there be in Chorley vs Darlington 1883?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chorley vs Darlington 1883?

Our predicted score is Chorley 1–1 Darlington 1883, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Chorley vs Darlington 1883?

Chorley vs Darlington 1883 (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Victory Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.