Southport vs Morecambe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 8 September the National League North brings Southport against Morecambe at Haig Avenue. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Southport are 23rd, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 15 matches; Morecambe are 9th (upper half) with 24. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Southport, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Spalding United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Morecambe, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Buxton, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Morecambe, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Southport.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Southport 1.2 xG, Morecambe 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Southport 31%, draw 21%, Morecambe 48%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Southport 1–1 Morecambe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Southport31%fair 3.19 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.40
Morecambe48%fair 2.10 · @2.05
2.84Expected goals
1.24Southport xG
1.60Morecambe xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
0–27%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Southport 1.2 – 1.6 Morecambe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Morecambe to win✗
48%
2.10
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.62
Draw no bet
Morecambe (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Southport +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
First team to score
Morecambe to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Morecambe / FT Morecambe✗
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
Southport – last 6
LLLWDD
5 Sep
@ Spalding United
0–2
L
31 Aug
vs Hereford
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Scarborough Athletic
1–5
L
22 Aug
vs Bedford Town
4–1
W
18 Aug
@ Hednesford Town
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Buxton
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Morecambe – last 6
WWWLLL
5 Sep
vs Buxton
4–0
W
31 Aug
@ Chester
1–0
W
28 Aug
vs AFC Telford United
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Radcliffe
1–2
L
18 Aug
vs South Shields
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Harborough Town
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Southport and Morecambe.
What is the prediction for Southport vs Morecambe?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Southport vs Morecambe?
On our numbers Southport have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Morecambe 48%.
How many goals will there be in Southport vs Morecambe?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Southport vs Morecambe?
Our predicted score is Southport 1–1 Morecambe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Southport vs Morecambe?
Southport vs Morecambe (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Haig Avenue.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
