Value bet: Spalding United to win @ 2.40 – our chance 48% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSpalding United to win ✓48% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.95
Spennymoor Town vs Spalding United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Spennymoor Town welcome Spalding United to The Brewery Field for a National League North fixture on Tuesday 8 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, Spennymoor Town are 24th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 15 matches; Spalding United are 12th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Spennymoor Town, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Hereford, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Spalding United, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Southport, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Spalding United, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Spennymoor Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spennymoor Town 1.1 xG, Spalding United 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spennymoor Town 31%, draw 22%, Spalding United 48%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Spalding United to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spennymoor Town 1–1 Spalding United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spennymoor Town31%fair 3.27 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.35
Spalding United48%fair 2.09 · @2.40
2.60Expected goals
1.12Spennymoor Town xG
1.49Spalding United xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Spennymoor Town 1.1 – 1.5 Spalding United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spalding United to win✓
48%
2.09
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.57
Draw no bet
Spalding United (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Spennymoor Town +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Spalding United to score first✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spalding United / FT Spalding United✗
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.95
–
Recent results
Spennymoor Town – last 6
LDLLLW
5 Sep
@ Hereford
1–2
L
31 Aug
vs Hednesford Town
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Bedford Town
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Oxford City
1–4
L
18 Aug
@ Scarborough Athletic
0–3
L
15 Aug
vs Merthyr Town
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Spalding United – last 6
WDWLDL
5 Sep
vs Southport
2–0
W
31 Aug
@ South Shields
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Worksop Town
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Chester
0–1
L
18 Aug
vs Macclesfield
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Oxford City
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spennymoor Town and Spalding United.
What is the prediction for Spennymoor Town vs Spalding United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Spennymoor Town vs Spalding United?
On our numbers Spennymoor Town have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Spalding United 48%.
How many goals will there be in Spennymoor Town vs Spalding United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spennymoor Town vs Spalding United?
Our predicted score is Spennymoor Town 1–1 Spalding United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Spennymoor Town vs Spalding United?
Spennymoor Town vs Spalding United (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Brewery Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
