Buxton 60%Draw 21%Harborough Town 18%Expected goals 1.91 – 0.93
82%
Betarazi pick
Buxton or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Buxton to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBuxton to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceBuxton or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Buxton vs Harborough Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Harborough Town travel to face Buxton on Tuesday 27 October in the National League North – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Buxton are 7th, upper half, on 27 points after 16 matches; Harborough Town are 19th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Buxton, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Chorley, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Harborough Town, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Worksop Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Harborough Town, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Buxton.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Buxton 1.9 xG, Harborough Town 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Buxton 60%, draw 21%, Harborough Town 18%.
Lower-risk option: Buxton or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Buxton to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Buxton or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Buxton 1–0 Harborough Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Buxton60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Harborough Town18%fair 5.51 · @3.50
2.84Expected goals
1.91Buxton xG
0.93Harborough Town xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Buxton 1.9 – 0.9 Harborough Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Buxton to win✓
60%
1.66
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Buxton or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.50
Draw no bet
Buxton (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Buxton -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Buxton to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Buxton ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Buxton / FT Buxton✓
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Buxton – last 6
WDLLLW
24 Oct
@ Chorley
3–2
W
17 Oct
vs Worksop Town
2–2
D
10 Oct
@ King's Lynn Town
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs South Shields
0–2
L
26 Sep
@ South Shields
0–4
L
19 Sep
vs Ashton United
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Harborough Town – last 6
DWWWLW
24 Oct
vs Worksop Town
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Spennymoor Town
3–1
W
10 Oct
vs Southport
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs St Albans City
3–2
W
26 Sep
@ Macclesfield
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Rushall Olympic
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buxton and Harborough Town.
What is the prediction for Buxton vs Harborough Town?
Our pick is Buxton or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Buxton vs Harborough Town?
On our numbers Buxton have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Harborough Town 18%.
How many goals will there be in Buxton vs Harborough Town?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buxton vs Harborough Town?
Our predicted score is Buxton 1–0 Harborough Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Buxton vs Harborough Town?
Buxton vs Harborough Town (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
