Hereford v AFC Telford United Prediction & Expected Goals (27 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHereford to win ✗60% · @1.83

Double chanceHereford or draw ✗85% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.50

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45

Hereford vs AFC Telford United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:45 WAT, Tuesday 27 October: Hereford v AFC Telford United in the National League North, played at Edgar Street. In the table, Hereford are 2nd, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; AFC Telford United are 11th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Hereford, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Macclesfield, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

AFC Telford United, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Hebburn Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Hereford, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for AFC Telford United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hereford 1.8 xG, AFC Telford United 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Hereford 60%, draw 25%, AFC Telford United 15%.
Lower-risk option: Hereford or draw (85%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Hereford to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Hereford or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hereford 1–0 AFC Telford United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hereford60%fair 1.68 · @1.83

Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.50

AFC Telford United15%fair 6.62 · @3.60

2.56Expected goals

1.77Hereford xG

0.79AFC Telford United xG

58%Both score

47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%

2–012%

1–111%

2–110%

0–08%

3–07%

From our goals model: Hereford 1.8 – 0.8 AFC Telford United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Hereford to win ✗	60%	1.68	1.83 ▲
Double chance	Hereford or draw ✗	85%	1.18	1.25 ▲
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	58%	1.72	1.50
Draw no bet	Hereford (draw no bet) ✗	80%	1.25	–
Asian handicap	Hereford -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.65	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	72%	1.38	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	53%	1.89	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	74%	1.34	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	88%	1.13	–
First team to score	Hereford to score first ✗	64%	1.57	–
Half-time result	Hereford ahead at half-time ✗	43%	2.33	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Hereford / FT Hereford ✗	38%	2.64	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.45	–

Hereford – last 6

WLDLWW

24 Oct	@ Macclesfield	2–1	W
10 Oct	vs Hednesford Town	0–1	L
26 Sep	@ Bedford Town	1–1	D
19 Sep	@ Stafford Rangers	2–3	L
12 Sep	vs South Shields	6–0	W
8 Sep	@ Harborough Town	3–0	W

2.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

AFC Telford United – last 6

DWLLLD

24 Oct	vs Hebburn Town	2–2	D
17 Oct	vs Darlington 1883	2–1	W
10 Oct	@ Chorley	1–2	L
26 Sep	vs King's Lynn Town	0–5	L
22 Sep	@ Worksop Town	2–5	L
19 Sep	vs Worksop Town	2–2	D

1.5Scored / game

2.8Conceded / game

83%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Shields	15	10	2	3	+10	32
2	Hereford	16	9	3	4	+14	30
3	Oxford City	15	8	4	3	+15	28
4	Macclesfield	13	8	3	2	+10	27
5	Hednesford Town	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	King's Lynn Town	16	8	3	5	+6	27
7	Buxton	16	8	3	5	+5	27
8	Chester	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Morecambe	16	7	3	6	+5	24
10	Bedford Town	14	7	1	6	-2	22
11	AFC Telford United	16	6	4	6	-4	22
12	Spalding United	15	6	3	6	+3	21
13	Chorley	15	6	2	7	-1	20
14	Worksop Town	15	6	2	7	-1	20
15	Hebburn Town	15	5	5	5	-8	20
16	Marine	15	6	1	8	0	19
17	Merthyr Town	16	4	7	5	-1	19
18	Brackley Town	16	5	4	7	-9	19
19	Harborough Town	14	4	5	5	-4	17
20	Scarborough Athletic	16	4	4	8	-3	16
21	Radcliffe	15	5	1	9	-8	16
22	Darlington 1883	16	3	3	10	-9	12
23	Southport	15	2	4	9	-15	10
24	Spennymoor Town	15	2	4	9	-15	10

Team

Pts

+10

+14

+15

+10

-2

-4

-1

-1

-8

-1

-9

-4

-3

-8

-9

-15

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hereford vs AFC Telford United?

Our pick is Hereford or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Hereford vs AFC Telford United?

On our numbers Hereford have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AFC Telford United 15%.

How many goals will there be in Hereford vs AFC Telford United?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hereford vs AFC Telford United?

Our predicted score is Hereford 1–0 AFC Telford United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Hereford vs AFC Telford United?

Hereford vs AFC Telford United (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Edgar Street.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Hereford v AFC Telford United: numbers & prediction