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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Morecambe v Darlington 1883: numbers & prediction

National League North · England · The Mazuma Stadium
1–0
FT
Morecambe 60%Draw 24%Darlington 1883 16% Expected goals 1.93 – 0.91
84%
Betarazi pick

Morecambe or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultMorecambe to win ✓60% · @1.75
Double chanceMorecambe or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10

Morecambe vs Darlington 1883: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 27 October the National League North brings Morecambe against Darlington 1883 at The Mazuma Stadium. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Morecambe are 9th, upper half, on 24 points after 16 matches; Darlington 1883 are 22nd (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Morecambe, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Merthyr Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Darlington 1883, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Spennymoor Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Oct 2026) it ended Morecambe 3–0 Darlington 1883.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Morecambe 1.9 xG, Darlington 1883 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Morecambe 60%, draw 24%, Darlington 1883 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Morecambe or draw (84%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Morecambe or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Morecambe 1–0 Darlington 1883. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Morecambe60%fair 1.67 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.60
Darlington 188316%fair 6.41 · @3.80
2.84Expected goals
1.93Morecambe xG
0.91Darlington 1883 xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Morecambe 1.9 – 0.9 Darlington 1883 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMorecambe to win ✓60%1.671.75
Double chanceMorecambe or draw ✓84%1.181.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.631.44
Draw no betMorecambe (draw no bet) ✓79%1.26–
Asian handicapMorecambe -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.85–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreMorecambe to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultMorecambe ahead at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Morecambe / FT Morecambe ✗39%2.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.10–

Recent results

Morecambe – last 6

WLLWDW
24 Oct@ Merthyr Town3–1W
17 Oct@ AFC Rushden & Diamonds1–2L
10 Oct@ Worksop Town1–2L
3 Octvs Darlington 18833–0W
26 Sep@ Oxford City1–1D
19 Sepvs Southport2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Darlington 1883 – last 6

WLDLDW
24 Octvs Spennymoor Town3–0W
17 Oct@ AFC Telford United1–2L
10 Octvs Merthyr Town1–1D
3 Oct@ Morecambe0–3L
26 Sepvs Hebburn Town1–1D
19 Sep@ Redcar Town4–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Oct 2026Morecambe v Darlington 18833–0
Morecambe vs Darlington 1883 head-to-head page →

National League North table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1South Shields151023+1032
2Hereford16934+1430
3Oxford City15843+1528
4Macclesfield13832+1027
5Hednesford Town16835+827
6King's Lynn Town16835+627
7Buxton16835+527
8Chester15825+426
9Morecambe16736+524
10Bedford Town14716-222
11AFC Telford United16646-422
12Spalding United15636+321
13Chorley15627-120
14Worksop Town15627-120
15Hebburn Town15555-820
16Marine15618019
17Merthyr Town16475-119
18Brackley Town16547-919
19Harborough Town14455-417
20Scarborough Athletic16448-316
21Radcliffe15519-816
22Darlington 1883163310-912
23Southport15249-1510
24Spennymoor Town15249-1510

More National League North predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Morecambe vs Darlington 1883?

Our pick is Morecambe or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Morecambe vs Darlington 1883?

On our numbers Morecambe have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Darlington 1883 16%.

How many goals will there be in Morecambe vs Darlington 1883?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Morecambe vs Darlington 1883?

Our predicted score is Morecambe 1–0 Darlington 1883, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Morecambe vs Darlington 1883?

Morecambe vs Darlington 1883 (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Mazuma Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.