Value bet: AFC Telford United to win @ 1.90 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAFC Telford United to win ✓61% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.25
AFC Telford United vs Spalding United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 November the National League North brings AFC Telford United against Spalding United at New Bucks Head. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, AFC Telford United are 11th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Spalding United are 12th (upper half) with 21. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
AFC Telford United, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Southport, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Spalding United, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Darlington 1883, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AFC Telford United, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Spalding United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AFC Telford United 1.8 xG, Spalding United 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Telford United 61%, draw 15%, Spalding United 24%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: AFC Telford United to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Telford United 1–1 Spalding United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AFC Telford United61%fair 1.63 · @1.90
Draw15%fair 6.88 · @3.60
Spalding United24%fair 4.17 · @3.25
2.67Expected goals
1.75AFC Telford United xG
0.92Spalding United xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: AFC Telford United 1.8 – 0.9 Spalding United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Telford United to win✓
61%
1.63
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.67
Draw no bet
AFC Telford United (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Spalding United +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.17
First team to score
AFC Telford United to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Telford United / FT AFC Telford United✓
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
AFC Telford United – last 6
WWDWLL
31 Oct
@ Southport
2–1
W
27 Oct
@ Hereford
1–0
W
24 Oct
vs Hebburn Town
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs Darlington 1883
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Chorley
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs King's Lynn Town
0–5
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Spalding United – last 6
WDLLDL
31 Oct
vs Darlington 1883
3–2
W
27 Oct
vs Brackley Town
2–2
D
24 Oct
@ Hednesford Town
0–2
L
20 Oct
@ Alvechurch
0–4
L
17 Oct
vs Alvechurch
2–2
D
10 Oct
@ Marine
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Telford United and Spalding United.
What is the prediction for AFC Telford United vs Spalding United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AFC Telford United vs Spalding United?
On our numbers AFC Telford United have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Spalding United 24%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Telford United vs Spalding United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Telford United vs Spalding United?
Our predicted score is AFC Telford United 1–1 Spalding United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is AFC Telford United vs Spalding United?
AFC Telford United vs Spalding United (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at New Bucks Head.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
