Chorley vs Hereford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 November the National League North brings Chorley against Hereford at Victory Park. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Chorley are 13th, lower half, on 20 points after 15 matches; Hereford are 2nd (among the top four) with 30.
Current form
Chorley, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Spennymoor Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Hereford, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to King's Lynn Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Chorley, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Hereford.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chorley 1.5 xG, Hereford 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chorley 41%, draw 21%, Hereford 38%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chorley 1–1 Hereford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chorley41%fair 2.41 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Hereford38%fair 2.66 · @2.35
2.89Expected goals
1.49Chorley xG
1.40Hereford xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Chorley 1.5 – 1.4 Hereford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chorley to win✗
41%
2.41
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.62
Draw no bet
Chorley (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Hereford +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
First team to score
Chorley to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chorley / FT Chorley✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.59
–
Recent results
Chorley – last 6
LWLDWW
31 Oct
@ Spennymoor Town
0–2
L
27 Oct
@ Radcliffe
3–0
W
24 Oct
vs Buxton
2–3
L
17 Oct
vs Worcester City
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs AFC Telford United
2–1
W
3 Oct
@ Barton Town Old Boys
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hereford – last 6
LLWLDL
31 Oct
vs King's Lynn Town
0–3
L
27 Oct
vs AFC Telford United
0–1
L
24 Oct
@ Macclesfield
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Hednesford Town
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Bedford Town
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Stafford Rangers
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chorley and Hereford.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Chorley vs Hereford?
On our numbers Chorley have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hereford 38%.
How many goals will there be in Chorley vs Hereford?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chorley vs Hereford?
Our predicted score is Chorley 1–1 Hereford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Chorley vs Hereford?
Chorley vs Hereford (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Victory Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
