Hednesford Town vs Morecambe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Hednesford Town v Morecambe in the National League North. In the table, Hednesford Town are 5th, upper half, on 27 points after 16 matches; Morecambe are 9th (upper half) with 24. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Hednesford Town, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chester, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Morecambe, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Scarborough Athletic, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Hednesford Town, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Morecambe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hednesford Town 1.5 xG, Morecambe 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hednesford Town 44%, draw 21%, Morecambe 36%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hednesford Town 1–1 Morecambe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hednesford Town44%fair 2.30 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.50
Morecambe36%fair 2.81 · @2.75
2.78Expected goals
1.48Hednesford Town xG
1.30Morecambe xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Hednesford Town 1.5 – 1.3 Morecambe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hednesford Town to win✓
44%
2.30
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.62
Draw no bet
Hednesford Town (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Morecambe +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.17
First team to score
Hednesford Town to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hednesford Town / FT Hednesford Town✓
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.34
–
Recent results
Hednesford Town – last 6
WLWWWW
31 Oct
@ Chester
1–0
W
27 Oct
@ Bedford Town
0–1
L
24 Oct
vs Spalding United
2–0
W
17 Oct
vs Brackley Town
3–2
W
10 Oct
@ Hereford
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Radcliffe
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Morecambe – last 6
WWWLLW
31 Oct
vs Scarborough Athletic
2–0
W
27 Oct
vs Darlington 1883
1–0
W
24 Oct
@ Merthyr Town
3–1
W
17 Oct
@ AFC Rushden & Diamonds
1–2
L
10 Oct
@ Worksop Town
1–2
L
3 Oct
vs Darlington 1883
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hednesford Town and Morecambe.
What is the prediction for Hednesford Town vs Morecambe?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Hednesford Town vs Morecambe?
On our numbers Hednesford Town have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Morecambe 36%.
How many goals will there be in Hednesford Town vs Morecambe?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hednesford Town vs Morecambe?
Our predicted score is Hednesford Town 1–1 Morecambe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Hednesford Town vs Morecambe?
Hednesford Town vs Morecambe (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
