Merthyr Town 45%Draw 20%Hebburn Town 35%Expected goals 1.60 – 1.38
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultMerthyr Town to win ✓45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.15
Merthyr Town vs Hebburn Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Merthyr Town welcome Hebburn Town for a National League North fixture on Saturday 7 November (16:00 WAT). In the table, Merthyr Town are 17th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Hebburn Town are 15th (lower half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Merthyr Town, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Radcliffe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Hebburn Town, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Harborough Town, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Merthyr Town 1.6 xG, Hebburn Town 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Merthyr Town 45%, draw 20%, Hebburn Town 35%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Merthyr Town 1–1 Hebburn Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Merthyr Town45%fair 2.22 · @2.05
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.75
Hebburn Town35%fair 2.83 · @2.80
2.98Expected goals
1.60Merthyr Town xG
1.38Hebburn Town xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Merthyr Town 1.6 – 1.4 Hebburn Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Merthyr Town to win✓
45%
2.22
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Draw no bet
Merthyr Town (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Hebburn Town +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.22
First team to score
Merthyr Town to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Merthyr Town / FT Merthyr Town✓
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.15
–
Recent results
Merthyr Town – last 6
DLLDDL
31 Oct
@ Radcliffe
3–3
D
27 Oct
@ Oxford City
0–3
L
24 Oct
vs Morecambe
1–3
L
17 Oct
vs King's Lynn Town
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Darlington 1883
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Marine
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hebburn Town – last 6
DDLLDL
31 Oct
vs Harborough Town
1–1
D
24 Oct
@ AFC Telford United
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs Scarborough Athletic
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs Oxford City
0–3
L
26 Sep
@ Darlington 1883
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Guiseley AFC
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Merthyr Town and Hebburn Town.
What is the prediction for Merthyr Town vs Hebburn Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Merthyr Town vs Hebburn Town?
On our numbers Merthyr Town have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hebburn Town 35%.
How many goals will there be in Merthyr Town vs Hebburn Town?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Merthyr Town vs Hebburn Town?
Our predicted score is Merthyr Town 1–1 Hebburn Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Merthyr Town vs Hebburn Town?
Merthyr Town vs Hebburn Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
