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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chelmsford City v Salisbury: numbers & prediction

1–1
FT
Chelmsford City 57%Draw 22%Salisbury 22% Expected goals 1.29 – 0.61
57%
Betarazi pick

Chelmsford City to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultChelmsford City to win ✗57% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.17

Chelmsford City vs Salisbury: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Salisbury travel to face Chelmsford City on Saturday 5 September in the National League South – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Chelmsford City are 8th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Salisbury are 3rd (among the top four) with 31.

Current form

Chelmsford City, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Weston-super-Mare, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Salisbury, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Billericay Town, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Chelmsford City 2–2 Salisbury.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chelmsford City 1.3 xG, Salisbury 0.6 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chelmsford City 57%, draw 22%, Salisbury 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Chelmsford City to win (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelmsford City 1–0 Salisbury. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chelmsford City57%fair 1.76 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.50
Salisbury22%fair 4.61 · @4.00
1.90Expected goals
1.29Chelmsford City xG
0.61Salisbury xG
51%Both score
30%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
0–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: Chelmsford City 1.3 – 0.6 Salisbury expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChelmsford City to win ✗57%1.761.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.961.67
Draw no betChelmsford City (draw no bet)72%1.38–
Asian handicapSalisbury +1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓57%1.77–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓87%1.14–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.05–
First team to scoreChelmsford City to score first58%1.74–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chelmsford City / FT Chelmsford City ✗31%3.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.17–

Recent results

Chelmsford City – last 6

DWDDDW
31 Aug@ Weston-super-Mare1–1D
29 Augvs Maidenhead1–0W
22 Aug@ Folkestone Invicta1–1D
15 Augvs Truro City0–0D
8 Aug@ Hemel Hempstead Town1–1D
11 Jul@ Bishop's Stortford3–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Salisbury – last 6

WLLDWW
31 Augvs Billericay Town1–0W
29 Aug@ Maidstone Utd1–2L
22 Augvs Hemel Hempstead Town1–2L
15 Aug@ Horsham0–0D
8 Augvs Hampton & Richmond5–0W
31 Julvs Havant & Wville5–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Chelmsford City v Salisbury2–2
Chelmsford City vs Salisbury head-to-head page →

National League South table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ebbsfleet United161051+2635
2Maidstone Utd161024+932
3Salisbury15942+1731
4Truro City14932+1530
5Farnham Town16925+1229
6Dorking Wanderers15762+1127
7Billericay Town14752+1626
8Chelmsford City165101+825
9Dagenham & Redbridge16745+225
10Tonbridge Angels16736+924
11Torquay15654+723
12Horsham16574+422
13Dover14644+122
14Weston-super-Mare15636+321
15Folkestone Invicta15555+420
16AFC Totton16619-1219
17Farnborough16529-2017
18Maidenhead16376-516
19Braintree165110-1816
20Hemel Hempstead Town17368-1115
21Chesham United153210-1311
22Hampton & Richmond162410-1810
23Walton & Hersham152211-258
24Slough Town162113-227

More National League South predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chelmsford City vs Salisbury?

Our pick is Chelmsford City to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Chelmsford City vs Salisbury?

On our numbers Chelmsford City have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Salisbury 22%.

How many goals will there be in Chelmsford City vs Salisbury?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chelmsford City vs Salisbury?

Our predicted score is Chelmsford City 1–0 Salisbury, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Chelmsford City vs Salisbury?

Chelmsford City vs Salisbury (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.