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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Maidstone Utd v Weston-super-Mare: numbers & prediction

National League South · England · Gallagher Stadium
1–0
FT
Maidstone Utd 42%Draw 24%Weston-super-Mare 34% Expected goals 1.68 – 1.49
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.80Odds
2

Value bet: Weston-super-Mare to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMaidstone Utd to win ✓42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.33

Maidstone Utd vs Weston-super-Mare: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Maidstone Utd v Weston-super-Mare in the National League South, played at Gallagher Stadium. In the table, Maidstone Utd are 2nd, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; Weston-super-Mare are 14th (lower half) with 21.

Current form

Maidstone Utd, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Hampton & Richmond, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Weston-super-Mare, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chelmsford City, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended Maidstone Utd 2–1 Weston-super-Mare.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Maidstone Utd 1.7 xG, Weston-super-Mare 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Maidstone Utd 42%, draw 24%, Weston-super-Mare 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Weston-super-Mare to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maidstone Utd 1–1 Weston-super-Mare. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Maidstone Utd42%fair 2.38 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.00
Weston-super-Mare34%fair 2.94 · @3.40
3.17Expected goals
1.68Maidstone Utd xG
1.49Weston-super-Mare xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: Maidstone Utd 1.7 – 1.5 Weston-super-Mare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMaidstone Utd to win ✓42%2.382.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.591.80 ▲
Draw no betMaidstone Utd (draw no bet) ✓55%1.81–
Asian handicapWeston-super-Mare +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
First team to scoreMaidstone Utd to score first ✓51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.61–
Half-time / full-timeHT Maidstone Utd / FT Maidstone Utd ✗25%3.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.33–

Recent results

Maidstone Utd – last 6

WWWDWL
31 Aug@ Hampton & Richmond4–1W
29 Augvs Salisbury2–1W
22 Aug@ Dorking Wanderers3–2W
18 Augvs Folkestone Invicta1–1D
15 Aug@ Walton & Hersham3–0W
8 Augvs Farnborough1–2L
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Weston-super-Mare – last 6

DWLDWW
31 Augvs Chelmsford City1–1D
29 Aug@ Hemel Hempstead Town3–1W
22 Augvs Dover2–3L
18 Aug@ Torquay0–0D
15 Augvs Hampton & Richmond3–0W
8 Augvs Chesham United3–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Mar 2026Maidstone Utd v Weston-super-Mare2–1
Maidstone Utd vs Weston-super-Mare head-to-head page →

National League South table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ebbsfleet United161051+2635
2Maidstone Utd161024+932
3Salisbury15942+1731
4Truro City14932+1530
5Farnham Town16925+1229
6Dorking Wanderers15762+1127
7Billericay Town14752+1626
8Chelmsford City165101+825
9Dagenham & Redbridge16745+225
10Tonbridge Angels16736+924
11Torquay15654+723
12Horsham16574+422
13Dover14644+122
14Weston-super-Mare15636+321
15Folkestone Invicta15555+420
16AFC Totton16619-1219
17Farnborough16529-2017
18Maidenhead16376-516
19Braintree165110-1816
20Hemel Hempstead Town17368-1115
21Chesham United153210-1311
22Hampton & Richmond162410-1810
23Walton & Hersham152211-258
24Slough Town162113-227

More National League South predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Maidstone Utd vs Weston-super-Mare?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Maidstone Utd vs Weston-super-Mare?

On our numbers Maidstone Utd have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Weston-super-Mare 34%.

How many goals will there be in Maidstone Utd vs Weston-super-Mare?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Maidstone Utd vs Weston-super-Mare?

Our predicted score is Maidstone Utd 1–1 Weston-super-Mare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Maidstone Utd vs Weston-super-Mare?

Maidstone Utd vs Weston-super-Mare (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gallagher Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.