Value bet: Farnham Town to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHemel Hempstead Town to win ✗39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.38
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnham Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Hemel Hempstead Town v Farnham Town in the National League South, played at Focus Community Arena. In the table, Hemel Hempstead Town are 20th, lower half, on 15 points after 17 matches; Farnham Town are 5th (upper half) with 29. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Hemel Hempstead Town, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Folkestone Invicta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Farnham Town, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Torquay, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hemel Hempstead Town 1.3 xG, Farnham Town 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hemel Hempstead Town 39%, draw 22%, Farnham Town 38%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Farnham Town to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hemel Hempstead Town 1–1 Farnham Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hemel Hempstead Town39%fair 2.55 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.25
Farnham Town38%fair 2.61 · @3.00
2.50Expected goals
1.26Hemel Hempstead Town xG
1.24Farnham Town xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Hemel Hempstead Town 1.3 – 1.2 Farnham Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hemel Hempstead Town to win✗
39%
2.55
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.60
Draw no bet
Hemel Hempstead Town (draw no bet)
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Farnham Town +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Hemel Hempstead Town to score first
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hemel Hempstead Town / FT Hemel Hempstead Town✗
21%
4.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.38
–
Recent results
Hemel Hempstead Town – last 6
LLWLWD
31 Aug
@ Folkestone Invicta
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Weston-super-Mare
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Salisbury
2–1
W
18 Aug
vs Maidenhead
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Farnborough
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Chelmsford City
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Farnham Town – last 6
WWLWLL
31 Aug
vs Torquay
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Horsham
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Billericay Town
2–4
L
18 Aug
@ Slough Town
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ Dagenham & Redbridge
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs AFC Totton
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hemel Hempstead Town and Farnham Town.
What is the prediction for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnham Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnham Town?
On our numbers Hemel Hempstead Town have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Farnham Town 38%.
How many goals will there be in Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnham Town?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnham Town?
Our predicted score is Hemel Hempstead Town 1–1 Farnham Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnham Town?
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnham Town (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Focus Community Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
