Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: Torquay to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTorquay to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Torquay v Dorking Wanderers in the National League South, played at Plainmoor. In the table, Torquay are 11th, upper half, on 23 points after 15 matches; Dorking Wanderers are 6th (upper half) with 27.
Current form
Torquay, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Maidenhead, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Dorking Wanderers, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Chelmsford City, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Momentum favours Dorking Wanderers, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Torquay.
Head to head
When they last met (2 May 2026) it ended Torquay 4–2 Dorking Wanderers. The last 2 head-to-heads: Torquay 1 win, Dorking Wanderers 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 5.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Torquay 2.0 xG, Dorking Wanderers 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Torquay 61%, draw 17%, Dorking Wanderers 23%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Torquay to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torquay 1–1 Dorking Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Torquay61%fair 1.65 · @1.80
Draw17%fair 6.03 · @3.60
Dorking Wanderers23%fair 4.40 · @3.40
3.08Expected goals
1.99Torquay xG
1.09Dorking Wanderers xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Torquay 2.0 – 1.1 Dorking Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers?
On our numbers Torquay have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Dorking Wanderers 23%.
How many goals will there be in Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers?
Our predicted score is Torquay 1–1 Dorking Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers?
Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Plainmoor.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.