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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Torquay v Dorking Wanderers: numbers & prediction

National League South · England · Plainmoor

Torquay

WWLDL
2–2
FT
Torquay 61%Draw 17%Dorking Wanderers 23% Expected goals 1.99 – 1.09
60%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.62Odds
1

Value bet: Torquay to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultTorquay to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Torquay v Dorking Wanderers in the National League South, played at Plainmoor. In the table, Torquay are 11th, upper half, on 23 points after 15 matches; Dorking Wanderers are 6th (upper half) with 27.

Current form

Torquay, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Maidenhead, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Dorking Wanderers, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Chelmsford City, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Momentum favours Dorking Wanderers, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Torquay.

Head to head

When they last met (2 May 2026) it ended Torquay 4–2 Dorking Wanderers. The last 2 head-to-heads: Torquay 1 win, Dorking Wanderers 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 5.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Torquay 2.0 xG, Dorking Wanderers 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Torquay 61%, draw 17%, Dorking Wanderers 23%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Torquay to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torquay 1–1 Dorking Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Torquay61%fair 1.65 · @1.80
Draw17%fair 6.03 · @3.60
Dorking Wanderers23%fair 4.40 · @3.40
3.08Expected goals
1.99Torquay xG
1.09Dorking Wanderers xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Torquay 2.0 – 1.1 Dorking Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTorquay to win ✗61%1.651.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83%1.201.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.53
Draw no betTorquay (draw no bet)73%1.37–
Asian handicapDorking Wanderers +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.641.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.661.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.291.25
First team to scoreTorquay to score first62%1.62–
Half-time resultTorquay ahead at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Torquay / FT Torquay ✗37%2.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

Torquay – last 6

WWLDLD
8 Sep@ Maidenhead4–0W
5 Sepvs Folkestone Invicta3–2W
31 Aug@ Farnham Town0–2L
29 Augvs Hampton & Richmond1–1D
22 Aug@ Dagenham & Redbridge0–2L
18 Augvs Weston-super-Mare0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Dorking Wanderers – last 6

DDWWLW
8 Sepvs Chelmsford City3–3D
5 Sep@ Billericay Town3–3D
31 Augvs Truro City1–0W
29 Aug@ Walton & Hersham4–1W
22 Augvs Maidstone Utd2–3L
18 Aug@ AFC Totton3–0W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 May 2026Torquay v Dorking Wanderers4–2
24 Mar 2026Torquay v Dorking Wanderers2–2
Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers head-to-head page →

National League South table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ebbsfleet United161051+2635
2Maidstone Utd161024+932
3Salisbury15942+1731
4Truro City14932+1530
5Farnham Town16925+1229
6Dorking Wanderers15762+1127
7Billericay Town14752+1626
8Chelmsford City165101+825
9Dagenham & Redbridge16745+225
10Tonbridge Angels16736+924
11Torquay15654+723
12Horsham16574+422
13Dover14644+122
14Weston-super-Mare15636+321
15Folkestone Invicta15555+420
16AFC Totton16619-1219
17Farnborough16529-2017
18Maidenhead16376-516
19Braintree165110-1816
20Hemel Hempstead Town17368-1115
21Chesham United153210-1311
22Hampton & Richmond162410-1810
23Walton & Hersham152211-258
24Slough Town162113-227

More National League South predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers?

On our numbers Torquay have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Dorking Wanderers 23%.

How many goals will there be in Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers?

Our predicted score is Torquay 1–1 Dorking Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers?

Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Plainmoor.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.