Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Weston-super-Mare to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWeston-super-Mare to win ✗62% · @1.95
Double chanceWeston-super-Mare or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Weston-super-Mare vs Folkestone Invicta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Weston-super-Mare v Folkestone Invicta in the National League South. In the table, Weston-super-Mare are 14th, lower half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Folkestone Invicta are 15th (lower half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Weston-super-Mare, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Farnham Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Folkestone Invicta, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ebbsfleet United, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Weston-super-Mare, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Folkestone Invicta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Weston-super-Mare 1.9 xG, Folkestone Invicta 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Weston-super-Mare 62%, draw 21%, Folkestone Invicta 17%.
Lower-risk option: Weston-super-Mare or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Weston-super-Mare to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Weston-super-Mare or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Weston-super-Mare 1–0 Folkestone Invicta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Weston-super-Mare62%fair 1.61 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.20
Folkestone Invicta17%fair 5.86 · @3.50
2.75Expected goals
1.89Weston-super-Mare xG
0.86Folkestone Invicta xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Weston-super-Mare 1.9 – 0.9 Folkestone Invicta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Weston-super-Mare to win✗
62%
1.61
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Weston-super-Mare or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.75
Draw no bet
Weston-super-Mare (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Weston-super-Mare -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Weston-super-Mare to score first✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Weston-super-Mare ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Weston-super-Mare / FT Weston-super-Mare✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Weston-super-Mare – last 6
LDDWWL
26 Sep
@ Farnham Town
2–3
L
22 Sep
@ Wimborne Town
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Wimborne Town
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Dagenham & Redbridge
1–0
W
8 Sep
vs AFC Totton
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Maidstone Utd
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Folkestone Invicta – last 6
LLLLDL
6 Oct
@ Ebbsfleet United
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Salisbury
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Dover
2–4
L
12 Sep
vs Farnham Town
1–2
L
8 Sep
vs Horsham
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Torquay
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Weston-super-Mare and Folkestone Invicta.
What is the prediction for Weston-super-Mare vs Folkestone Invicta?
Our pick is Weston-super-Mare or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Weston-super-Mare vs Folkestone Invicta?
On our numbers Weston-super-Mare have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Folkestone Invicta 17%.
How many goals will there be in Weston-super-Mare vs Folkestone Invicta?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Weston-super-Mare vs Folkestone Invicta?
Our predicted score is Weston-super-Mare 1–0 Folkestone Invicta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Weston-super-Mare vs Folkestone Invicta?
Weston-super-Mare vs Folkestone Invicta (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
