Value bet: Torquay to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTorquay to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceTorquay or draw ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Torquay vs Maidstone Utd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Torquay v Maidstone Utd in the National League South, played at Plainmoor. In the table, Torquay are 11th, upper half, on 23 points after 15 matches; Maidstone Utd are 2nd (among the top four) with 32.
Current form
Torquay, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Oxford City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Maidstone Utd, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Maidenhead, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Torquay, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Maidstone Utd.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Torquay 1.9 xG, Maidstone Utd 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Torquay 55%, draw 22%, Maidstone Utd 22%.
Lower-risk option: Torquay or draw (78%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Torquay to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Torquay or draw (78%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torquay 1–1 Maidstone Utd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Torquay55%fair 1.81 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.50
Maidstone Utd22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
2.96Expected goals
1.86Torquay xG
1.10Maidstone Utd xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Torquay 1.9 – 1.1 Maidstone Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torquay to win✗
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Torquay or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Draw no bet
Torquay (draw no bet)
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Maidstone Utd +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Torquay to score first✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Torquay ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torquay / FT Torquay✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Torquay – last 6
LWWLWD
17 Oct
vs Oxford City
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs Slough Town
5–1
W
3 Oct
@ Tonbridge Angels
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Billericay Town
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs AFC Stoneham
6–1
W
12 Sep
vs Dorking Wanderers
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Maidstone Utd – last 6
WWLLDL
17 Oct
vs Maidenhead
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Horsham
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs Truro City
1–2
L
22 Sep
vs Cray Wanderers
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Cray Wanderers
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Braintree
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torquay and Maidstone Utd.
What is the prediction for Torquay vs Maidstone Utd?
Our pick is Torquay or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Torquay vs Maidstone Utd?
On our numbers Torquay have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Maidstone Utd 22%.
How many goals will there be in Torquay vs Maidstone Utd?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torquay vs Maidstone Utd?
Our predicted score is Torquay 1–1 Maidstone Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Torquay vs Maidstone Utd?
Torquay vs Maidstone Utd (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Plainmoor.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
