AFC Totton 17%Draw 21%Torquay 62%Expected goals 0.90 – 1.94
83%
Betarazi pick
Torquay or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Torquay to win @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTorquay to win ✗62% · @1.73
Double chanceTorquay or draw ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
AFC Totton vs Torquay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Tuesday 27 October: AFC Totton v Torquay in the National League South. In the table, AFC Totton are 16th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Torquay are 11th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
AFC Totton, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Hemel Hempstead Town, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Torquay, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Maidstone Utd, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Torquay, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for AFC Totton.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AFC Totton 0.9 xG, Torquay 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Totton 17%, draw 21%, Torquay 62%.
Lower-risk option: Torquay or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Torquay to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Torquay or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Totton 0–1 Torquay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AFC Totton17%fair 5.96 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.60
Torquay62%fair 1.61 · @1.73
2.84Expected goals
0.90AFC Totton xG
1.94Torquay xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: AFC Totton 0.9 – 1.9 Torquay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torquay to win✗
62%
1.61
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Torquay or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.50
Draw no bet
Torquay (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Torquay -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Torquay to score first✗
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Torquay ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torquay / FT Torquay✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
AFC Totton – last 6
WLLLLL
24 Oct
@ Hemel Hempstead Town
3–1
W
17 Oct
@ Folkestone Invicta
1–2
L
13 Oct
@ Ebbsfleet United
0–5
L
10 Oct
vs Walton & Hersham
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Dover
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Gloucester City
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Torquay – last 6
DLWWLW
24 Oct
vs Maidstone Utd
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Oxford City
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs Slough Town
5–1
W
3 Oct
@ Tonbridge Angels
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Billericay Town
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs AFC Stoneham
6–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Totton and Torquay.
Our pick is Torquay or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AFC Totton vs Torquay?
On our numbers AFC Totton have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Torquay 62%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Totton vs Torquay?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Totton vs Torquay?
Our predicted score is AFC Totton 0–1 Torquay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is AFC Totton vs Torquay?
AFC Totton vs Torquay (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
