Dover 36%Draw 21%Chelmsford City 43%Expected goals 1.34 – 1.49
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Dover to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChelmsford City to win ✓43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.39
Dover vs Chelmsford City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Tuesday 27 October: Dover v Chelmsford City in the National League South. In the table, Dover are 13th, lower half, on 22 points after 14 matches; Chelmsford City are 8th (upper half) with 25. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Dover, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Salisbury, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Chelmsford City, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Tonbridge Angels, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Dover, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Chelmsford City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dover 1.3 xG, Chelmsford City 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dover 36%, draw 21%, Chelmsford City 43%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Dover to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dover 1–1 Chelmsford City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dover36%fair 2.79 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
Chelmsford City43%fair 2.35 · @2.05
2.83Expected goals
1.34Dover xG
1.49Chelmsford City xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Dover 1.3 – 1.5 Chelmsford City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelmsford City to win✓
43%
2.35
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.53
Draw no bet
Chelmsford City (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Dover +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Chelmsford City to score first✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelmsford City / FT Chelmsford City✓
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.39
–
Recent results
Dover – last 6
DWDWWW
24 Oct
@ Salisbury
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Dorking Wanderers
3–2
W
10 Oct
vs Dorking Wanderers
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ Hanwell Town
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs AFC Totton
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs Folkestone Invicta
4–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chelmsford City – last 6
DLWWDW
24 Oct
vs Tonbridge Angels
3–3
D
17 Oct
@ Wimborne Town
0–1
L
10 Oct
@ Chesham United
5–0
W
3 Oct
@ Brackley Town
2–0
W
26 Sep
vs Horsham
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Canvey Island
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dover and Chelmsford City.
What is the prediction for Dover vs Chelmsford City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Dover vs Chelmsford City?
On our numbers Dover have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chelmsford City 43%.
How many goals will there be in Dover vs Chelmsford City?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dover vs Chelmsford City?
Our predicted score is Dover 1–1 Chelmsford City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Dover vs Chelmsford City?
Dover vs Chelmsford City (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
