Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Dorking Wanderers to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDorking Wanderers to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chanceDorking Wanderers or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dorking Wanderers welcome Hemel Hempstead Town to Meadowbank for a National League South fixture on Tuesday 27 October (20:45 WAT). In the table, Dorking Wanderers are 6th, upper half, on 27 points after 15 matches; Hemel Hempstead Town are 20th (lower half) with 15. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Dorking Wanderers, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Slough Town, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Hemel Hempstead Town, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to AFC Totton, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Dorking Wanderers, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Hemel Hempstead Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dorking Wanderers 1.9 xG, Hemel Hempstead Town 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dorking Wanderers 63%, draw 23%, Hemel Hempstead Town 15%.
Lower-risk option: Dorking Wanderers or draw (85%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Dorking Wanderers to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Dorking Wanderers or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dorking Wanderers 1–0 Hemel Hempstead Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dorking Wanderers63%fair 1.60 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.50
Hemel Hempstead Town15%fair 6.73 · @3.50
2.76Expected goals
1.93Dorking Wanderers xG
0.83Hemel Hempstead Town xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Dorking Wanderers 1.9 – 0.8 Hemel Hempstead Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dorking Wanderers to win✗
63%
1.60
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Dorking Wanderers or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.50
Draw no bet
Dorking Wanderers (draw no bet)
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Dorking Wanderers -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Dorking Wanderers to score first
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Dorking Wanderers ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dorking Wanderers / FT Dorking Wanderers✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Dorking Wanderers – last 6
WLDWWD
24 Oct
@ Slough Town
3–1
W
17 Oct
@ Dover
2–3
L
10 Oct
@ Dover
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Chatham Town
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Braintree
4–3
W
20 Sep
@ Southall
2–2
D
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hemel Hempstead Town – last 6
LDWLDD
24 Oct
vs AFC Totton
1–3
L
10 Oct
@ Dagenham & Redbridge
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Slough Town
2–0
W
22 Sep
@ Wingate & Finchley
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Wingate & Finchley
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Tonbridge Angels
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dorking Wanderers and Hemel Hempstead Town.
What is the prediction for Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Our pick is Dorking Wanderers or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
On our numbers Dorking Wanderers have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hemel Hempstead Town 15%.
How many goals will there be in Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Our predicted score is Dorking Wanderers 1–0 Hemel Hempstead Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Meadowbank.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
