Value bet: Horsham to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMaidenhead to win ✗43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.15
Maidenhead vs Horsham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 27 October the National League South brings Maidenhead against Horsham at York Road. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Maidenhead are 18th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Horsham are 12th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Maidenhead, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Ebbsfleet United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Horsham, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Walton & Hersham, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Horsham, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Maidenhead.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maidenhead 1.3 xG, Horsham 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maidenhead 43%, draw 22%, Horsham 35%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Horsham to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maidenhead 1–1 Horsham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maidenhead43%fair 2.34 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.25
Horsham35%fair 2.87 · @3.30
2.35Expected goals
1.26Maidenhead xG
1.09Horsham xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Maidenhead 1.3 – 1.1 Horsham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maidenhead to win✗
43%
2.34
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.60
Draw no bet
Maidenhead (draw no bet)
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Horsham +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Maidenhead to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maidenhead / FT Maidenhead✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.15
–
Recent results
Maidenhead – last 6
LLLWLD
24 Oct
@ Ebbsfleet United
0–4
L
17 Oct
@ Maidstone Utd
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Tonbridge Angels
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Chesham United
4–0
W
19 Sep
vs Ebbsfleet United
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Billericay Town
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Horsham – last 6
WDWLLD
24 Oct
vs Walton & Hersham
1–0
W
20 Oct
@ Ebbsfleet United
2–2
D
17 Oct
@ Slough Town
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Maidstone Utd
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ Plymouth Parkway
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Chelmsford City
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maidenhead and Horsham.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Maidenhead vs Horsham?
On our numbers Maidenhead have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Horsham 35%.
How many goals will there be in Maidenhead vs Horsham?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maidenhead vs Horsham?
Our predicted score is Maidenhead 1–1 Horsham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Maidenhead vs Horsham?
Maidenhead vs Horsham (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at York Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
