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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bradford v Newcastle United U21: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · Valley Parade

Bradford

WWWWL
2–1
FT

Newcastle United U21

LWLLL
Bradford 73%Draw 18%Newcastle United U21 9% Expected goals 2.92 – 1.08
73%
Betarazi pick

Bradford to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBradford to win ✓73% · @1.20
Double chanceBradford or draw ✓91% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.85

Bradford vs Newcastle United U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bradford welcome Newcastle United U21 to Valley Parade for a EFL Trophy fixture on Tuesday 22 September (19:30 WAT). In the table, Bradford are 2nd on 6 points after 3 matches; Newcastle United U21 are 3rd with 2.

Current form

Bradford, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Luton, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Newcastle United U21, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Leeds United U21, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Bradford, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Newcastle United U21.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bradford 2.9 xG, Newcastle United U21 1.1 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bradford 73%, draw 18%, Newcastle United U21 9%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Bradford to win (73%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bradford 2–1 Newcastle United U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bradford73%fair 1.37 · @1.20
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @5.50
Newcastle United U219%fair 10.87 · @11.00
4.00Expected goals
2.92Bradford xG
1.08Newcastle United U21 xG
64%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
3–18%
2–08%
3–08%
4–16%
1–16%

From our goals model: Bradford 2.9 – 1.1 Newcastle United U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBradford to win ✓73%1.371.20
Double chanceBradford or draw ✓91%1.101.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.70 ▲
Draw no betBradford (draw no bet) ✓89%1.13–
Asian handicapBradford -1 (Asian handicap)69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗57%1.77–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
First team to scoreBradford to score first ✗72%1.40–
Half-time resultBradford ahead at half-time ✗57%1.76–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bradford / FT Bradford ✗52%1.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%11.85–

Recent results

Bradford – last 6

WWWWLL
19 Sep@ Luton1–0W
12 Sep@ Notts County1–0W
8 Sep@ Leyton Orient3–1W
5 Sepvs Mansfield Town1–0W
1 Sepvs Cambridge United1–2L
29 Aug@ Plymouth0–2L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Newcastle United U21 – last 6

LWLLLL
19 Sep@ Leeds United U210–2L
15 Sep@ York3–1W
8 Sep@ Boreham Wood1–2L
31 Augvs Fulham U210–4L
24 Augvs Tottenham Hotspur U211–3L
18 Aug@ Tamworth3–5L
1.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bradford and Newcastle United U21.

Bradford vs Newcastle United U21 head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Doncaster3300+69
2Bradford3201+36
3Grimsby3102-23
4Everton U213003-70

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub
FT Salford City1 Sheffield Wednesday2 124%2.50X51%3.30225%2.30 X2Sheffield Wednesday or draw 76%@1.44 ✓
FT Accrington ST3 Sunderland U213 Pens 3–1 159%1.67X20%4.00221%3.50 1Accrington ST to win 59%@1.67 ✗
FT Wigan3 Blackpool2 140%2.25X23%3.10237%2.70 2.5–2.5xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.53 ✓
FT Crewe4 Aston Villa U211 169%1.40X18%4.40213%5.50 3.4–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 72%@1.40 ✓
FT York1 Rotherham1 Pens 4–5 142%2.05X23%3.10236%3.00 2.1–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.50 ✓
FT Chesterfield1 Port Vale1 Pens 4–3 138%2.15X21%3.30240%2.75 4.0–4.0xG GGBoth teams to score 74%@1.50 ✓
FT Tranmere1 Shrewsbury0 147%2.10X24%2.90229%3.20 12Either team to win 76%@1.35 ✓
FT Burton Albion1 Nottingham Forest U211 Pens 3–4 162%1.50X23%3.90214%4.75 1Burton Albion to win 62%@1.50 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bradford vs Newcastle United U21?

Our pick is Bradford to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Bradford vs Newcastle United U21?

On our numbers Bradford have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Newcastle United U21 9%.

How many goals will there be in Bradford vs Newcastle United U21?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bradford vs Newcastle United U21?

Our predicted score is Bradford 2–1 Newcastle United U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Bradford vs Newcastle United U21?

Bradford vs Newcastle United U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Valley Parade.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.