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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cheltenham v Exeter City: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · Whaddon Road

Cheltenham

DWDWD
2–2
FTPens 4–3

Exeter City

DLWDD
Cheltenham 44%Draw 23%Exeter City 34% Expected goals 1.09 – 0.91
55%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultCheltenham to win ✗44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.63

Cheltenham vs Exeter City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 22 September the EFL Trophy brings Cheltenham against Exeter City at Whaddon Road. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Cheltenham are 3rd on 2 points after 3 matches; Exeter City are 2nd with 6.

Current form

Cheltenham, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Colchester, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Exeter City, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tranmere, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Cheltenham, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Exeter City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cheltenham 1.1 xG, Exeter City 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cheltenham 44%, draw 23%, Exeter City 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cheltenham 1–1 Exeter City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cheltenham44%fair 2.29 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.10
Exeter City34%fair 2.96 · @2.62
2.00Expected goals
1.09Cheltenham xG
0.91Exeter City xG
55%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Cheltenham 1.1 – 0.9 Exeter City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCheltenham to win ✗44%2.292.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.50
Draw no betCheltenham (draw no bet)56%1.78–
Asian handicapExeter City +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreCheltenham to score first ✓47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cheltenham / FT Cheltenham ✗22%4.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.63–

Recent results

Cheltenham – last 6

DWDWDL
19 Sep@ Colchester1–1D
12 Sep@ Crawley Town3–1W
5 Sepvs Grimsby2–2D
1 Sepvs York3–2W
29 Aug@ Barnet2–2D
22 Aug@ Swindon Town1–2L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Exeter City – last 6

DLWDDL
19 Sepvs Tranmere0–0D
12 Sep@ Port Vale0–1L
8 Sepvs Tottenham Hotspur U212–0W
5 Sepvs Walsall0–0D
1 Sepvs Barnet1–1D
29 Aug@ York1–2L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cheltenham and Exeter City.

Cheltenham vs Exeter City head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardiff3201+26
2Exeter City3201+16
3Newport County3102-13
4Arsenal U213102-23

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub
FT Salford City1 Sheffield Wednesday2 124%2.50X51%3.30225%2.30 X2Sheffield Wednesday or draw 76%@1.44 ✓
FT Accrington ST3 Sunderland U213 Pens 3–1 159%1.67X20%4.00221%3.50 1Accrington ST to win 59%@1.67 ✗
FT Wigan3 Blackpool2 140%2.25X23%3.10237%2.70 2.5–2.5xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.53 ✓
FT Crewe4 Aston Villa U211 169%1.40X18%4.40213%5.50 3.4–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 72%@1.40 ✓
FT York1 Rotherham1 Pens 4–5 142%2.05X23%3.10236%3.00 2.1–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.50 ✓
FT Chesterfield1 Port Vale1 Pens 4–3 138%2.15X21%3.30240%2.75 4.0–4.0xG GGBoth teams to score 74%@1.50 ✓
FT Tranmere1 Shrewsbury0 147%2.10X24%2.90229%3.20 12Either team to win 76%@1.35 ✓
FT Burton Albion1 Nottingham Forest U211 Pens 3–4 162%1.50X23%3.90214%4.75 1Burton Albion to win 62%@1.50 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cheltenham vs Exeter City?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Cheltenham vs Exeter City?

On our numbers Cheltenham have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Exeter City 34%.

How many goals will there be in Cheltenham vs Exeter City?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cheltenham vs Exeter City?

Our predicted score is Cheltenham 1–1 Exeter City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Cheltenham vs Exeter City?

Cheltenham vs Exeter City (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Whaddon Road.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.