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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Plymouth v Crystal Palace U21: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · Home Park
5–1
FT
Plymouth 73%Draw 19%Crystal Palace U21 8% Expected goals 2.32 – 0.68
73%
Betarazi pick

Plymouth to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultPlymouth to win ✓73% · @1.25
Double chancePlymouth or draw ✓92% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.96

Plymouth vs Crystal Palace U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Plymouth welcome Crystal Palace U21 to Home Park for a EFL Trophy fixture on Tuesday 22 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, Plymouth are 2nd on 6 points after 3 matches; Crystal Palace U21 are 4th with 1.

Current form

Plymouth, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Blackpool, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Crystal Palace U21, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Blackburn Rovers U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Plymouth 2.3 xG, Crystal Palace U21 0.7 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Plymouth 73%, draw 19%, Crystal Palace U21 8%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Plymouth to win (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Plymouth 2–0 Crystal Palace U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Plymouth73%fair 1.37 · @1.25
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @5.00
Crystal Palace U218%fair 12.43 · @7.50
3.00Expected goals
2.32Plymouth xG
0.68Crystal Palace U21 xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Plymouth 2.3 – 0.7 Crystal Palace U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPlymouth to win ✓73%1.371.25
Double chancePlymouth or draw ✓92%1.091.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.50
Draw no betPlymouth (draw no bet) ✓90%1.11–
Asian handicapPlymouth -1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.23–
First team to scorePlymouth to score first ✓73%1.36–
Half-time resultPlymouth ahead at half-time ✓54%1.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Plymouth / FT Plymouth ✓50%2.00–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.96–

Recent results

Plymouth – last 6

WWWLWL
19 Sep@ Blackpool4–2W
12 Sepvs Barnsley3–0W
5 Sep@ Doncaster3–2W
1 Sep@ Leicester0–2L
29 Augvs Bradford2–0W
25 Augvs Coventry2–4L
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Crystal Palace U21 – last 6

LWWWDL
19 Sepvs Blackburn Rovers U210–1L
15 Sep@ Swindon Town2–1W
2 Sepvs Paris Saint-Germain U212–1W
28 Aug@ Aston Villa U212–0W
22 Aug@ Arsenal U211–1D
4 Mayvs Manchester United U210–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Plymouth and Crystal Palace U21.

Plymouth vs Crystal Palace U21 head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bristol Rovers3300+28
2Plymouth3201+56
3Cheltenham3102-32
4Tottenham Hotspur U213003-42

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Plymouth vs Crystal Palace U21?

Our pick is Plymouth to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Plymouth vs Crystal Palace U21?

On our numbers Plymouth have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Crystal Palace U21 8%.

How many goals will there be in Plymouth vs Crystal Palace U21?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Plymouth vs Crystal Palace U21?

Our predicted score is Plymouth 2–0 Crystal Palace U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Plymouth vs Crystal Palace U21?

Plymouth vs Crystal Palace U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Home Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.