Value bet: ASA to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCianorte to win ✗36% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.95
Cianorte vs ASA: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cianorte welcome ASA to Estadio Olimpico Albino Turbay for a Serie D fixture on Saturday 18 July (20:00 WAT).
Current form
Cianorte, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with XV de Piracicaba, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
ASA, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Ivinhema, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cianorte 1.0 xG, ASA 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cianorte 36%, draw 29%, ASA 35%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: ASA to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 1.90, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cianorte 1–1 ASA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cianorte36%fair 2.79 · @2.15
Draw29%fair 3.44 · @2.62
ASA35%fair 2.85 · @3.40
2.16Expected goals
1.00Cianorte xG
1.16ASA xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Cianorte 1.0 – 1.2 ASA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cianorte to win✗
36%
2.79
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Cianorte (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Cianorte +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
ASA to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ASA / FT ASA✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.95
–
Recent results
Cianorte – last 6
DWLWWL
11 Jul
@ XV de Piracicaba
0–0
D
4 Jul
vs XV de Piracicaba
4–0
W
28 Jun
vs Independiente FSJ
0–1
L
20 Jun
@ Independiente FSJ
1–0
W
7 Jun
@ Guarany de Bagé
1–0
W
31 May
vs Santa Catarina
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
ASA – last 6
WWWDDD
12 Jul
vs Ivinhema
4–0
W
7 Jul
@ Ivinhema
2–1
W
27 Jun
@ Sergipe
1–0
W
21 Jun
vs Sergipe
1–1
D
14 Jun
@ Jacuipense
1–1
D
30 May
vs CSE
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cianorte and ASA.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Cianorte vs ASA?
On our numbers Cianorte have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 29% and ASA 35%.
How many goals will there be in Cianorte vs ASA?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cianorte vs ASA?
Our predicted score is Cianorte 1–1 ASA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Cianorte vs ASA?
Cianorte vs ASA (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Albino Turbay.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.