Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.05
Sao Jose vs Treze: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Treze travel to face Sao Jose on Saturday 18 July in the Serie D, with Francisco Novelletto Neto the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Current form
Sao Jose, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Portuguesa RJ, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Treze, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over CRAC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sao Jose, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Treze.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sao Jose 1.2 xG, Treze 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sao Jose 43%, draw 30%, Treze 27%.
Lower-risk option: Sao Jose or draw (73%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sao Jose or draw (73%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sao Jose 1–0 Treze. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sao Jose43%fair 2.34 · @2.10
Draw30%fair 3.33 · @2.62
Treze27%fair 3.67 · @3.60
2.16Expected goals
1.23Sao Jose xG
0.93Treze xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sao Jose 1.2 – 0.9 Treze expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sao Jose to win✓
43%
2.34
2.10
Double chance
Sao Jose or draw✓
73%
1.37
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.53
Draw no bet
Sao Jose (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Treze +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Sao Jose to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sao Jose / FT Sao Jose✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.05
–
Recent results
Sao Jose – last 6
DWDDWW
12 Jul
@ Portuguesa RJ
0–0
D
4 Jul
vs Portuguesa RJ
1–0
W
27 Jun
@ Santa Catarina
1–1
D
21 Jun
vs Santa Catarina
1–1
D
7 Jun
@ Blumenau
1–0
W
31 May
vs Independiente FSJ
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Treze – last 6
WLDWLD
12 Jul
vs CRAC
1–0
W
4 Jul
@ CRAC
1–2
L
28 Jun
vs Jacuipense
0–0
D
21 Jun
@ Jacuipense
3–1
W
14 Jun
@ Retrô
0–3
L
6 Jun
@ Decisão
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sao Jose and Treze.
Our pick is Sao Jose or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sao Jose vs Treze?
On our numbers Sao Jose have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Treze 27%.
How many goals will there be in Sao Jose vs Treze?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sao Jose vs Treze?
Our predicted score is Sao Jose 1–0 Treze, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sao Jose vs Treze?
Sao Jose vs Treze (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Novelletto Neto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.