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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Goiatuba EC v Ferroviario: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Goiatuba EC

WLWDW
3–0
FT

Ferroviario

WDWDW
Goiatuba EC 44%Draw 30%Ferroviario 27% Expected goals 1.21 – 0.83
73%
Betarazi pick

Goiatuba EC or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultGoiatuba EC to win ✓44% · @2.10
Double chanceGoiatuba EC or draw ✓73% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.35

Goiatuba EC vs Ferroviario: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 18 July the Serie D brings Goiatuba EC against Ferroviario. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT.

Current form

Goiatuba EC, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Manauara, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Ferroviario, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Imperatriz, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Goiatuba EC 1.2 xG, Ferroviario 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Goiatuba EC 44%, draw 30%, Ferroviario 27%.
  • Lower-risk option: Goiatuba EC or draw (73%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Goiatuba EC or draw (73%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Goiatuba EC 1–0 Ferroviario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Goiatuba EC44%fair 2.28 · @2.10
Draw30%fair 3.37 · @2.70
Ferroviario27%fair 3.77 · @3.50
2.04Expected goals
1.21Goiatuba EC xG
0.83Ferroviario xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–010%
2–18%

From our goals model: Goiatuba EC 1.2 – 0.8 Ferroviario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGoiatuba EC to win ✓44%2.282.10
Double chanceGoiatuba EC or draw ✓73%1.361.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.931.62
Draw no betGoiatuba EC (draw no bet) ✓62%1.61–
Asian handicapFerroviario +1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreGoiatuba EC to score first ✓52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Goiatuba EC / FT Goiatuba EC ✓26%3.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.35–

Recent results

Goiatuba EC – last 6

WLWDWD
12 Jul@ Manauara2–1W
4 Julvs Manauara0–1L
27 Junvs Brasiliense1–0W
21 Jun@ Brasiliense0–0D
7 Junvs CEOV Operário1–0W
30 May@ Ceilândia1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Ferroviario – last 6

WDWDWD
12 Julvs Imperatriz3–0W
4 Jul@ Imperatriz1–1D
28 Junvs Central SC2–0W
21 Jun@ Central SC1–1D
13 Junvs Fluminense PI1–0W
1 Jun@ TirolCEFAT0–0D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Goiatuba EC and Ferroviario.

Goiatuba EC vs Ferroviario head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Cianorte0 ASA1 136%2.15X29%2.62235%3.40 1.0–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.20 ✗
FT Sao Jose2 Treze1 143%2.10X30%2.62227%3.60 1.2–0.9xG 1XSao Jose or draw 73%@1.22 ✓
FT Nacional AM1 Iguatu1 149%1.95X29%2.75222%3.90 1.4–0.9xG 1XNacional AM or draw 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Uberlandia2 Portuguesa0 135%2.90X30%2.60234%2.45 1.1–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.00 ✗
FT Luverdense0 ABC0 136%2.50X29%2.70236%2.70 1.1–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.05 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Goiatuba EC vs Ferroviario?

Our pick is Goiatuba EC or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Goiatuba EC vs Ferroviario?

On our numbers Goiatuba EC have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Ferroviario 27%.

How many goals will there be in Goiatuba EC vs Ferroviario?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Goiatuba EC vs Ferroviario?

Our predicted score is Goiatuba EC 1–0 Ferroviario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Goiatuba EC vs Ferroviario?

Goiatuba EC vs Ferroviario (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.