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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nacional AM v Iguatu: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Nacional AM

LWDWW
1–1
FT

Iguatu

WWDWW
Nacional AM 49%Draw 29%Iguatu 22% Expected goals 1.42 – 0.91
78%
Betarazi pick

Nacional AM or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultNacional AM to win ✗49% · @1.95
Double chanceNacional AM or draw ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.21

Nacional AM vs Iguatu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 18 July the Serie D brings Nacional AM against Iguatu. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Nacional AM, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Capital Brasilia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Iguatu, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Maguary PE, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Iguatu, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Nacional AM.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nacional AM 1.4 xG, Iguatu 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nacional AM 49%, draw 29%, Iguatu 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Nacional AM or draw (78%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Nacional AM or draw (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nacional AM 1–0 Iguatu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nacional AM49%fair 2.03 · @1.95
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.75
Iguatu22%fair 4.49 · @3.90
2.33Expected goals
1.42Nacional AM xG
0.91Iguatu xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%

From our goals model: Nacional AM 1.4 – 0.9 Iguatu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNacional AM to win ✗49%2.031.95
Double chanceNacional AM or draw ✓78%1.291.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.912.10 ▲
Draw no betNacional AM (draw no bet)69%1.45–
Asian handicapIguatu +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.70–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreNacional AM to score first55%1.82–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nacional AM / FT Nacional AM ✗29%3.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.21–

Recent results

Nacional AM – last 6

LWDWWD
12 Jul@ Capital Brasilia0–1L
4 Julvs Capital Brasilia1–0W
28 Junvs Araguaína0–0D
21 Jun@ Araguaína1–0W
14 Junvs Monte Roraima3–1W
31 May@ Manaus FC1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Iguatu – last 6

WWDWWD
12 Julvs Maguary PE2–1W
4 Jul@ Maguary PE3–2W
27 Junvs Tuna Luso1–1D
21 Jun@ Tuna Luso2–1W
7 Jun@ Sampaio Correa1–0W
30 Mayvs Parnahyba2–2D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nacional AM and Iguatu.

Nacional AM vs Iguatu head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Cianorte0 ASA1 136%2.15X29%2.62235%3.40 1.0–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.20 ✗
FT Sao Jose2 Treze1 143%2.10X30%2.62227%3.60 1.2–0.9xG 1XSao Jose or draw 73%@1.22 ✓
FT Uberlandia2 Portuguesa0 135%2.90X30%2.60234%2.45 1.1–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.00 ✗
FT Goiatuba EC3 Ferroviario0 144%2.10X30%2.70227%3.50 1.2–0.8xG 1XGoiatuba EC or draw 73%@1.22 ✓
FT Luverdense0 ABC0 136%2.50X29%2.70236%2.70 1.1–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.05 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nacional AM vs Iguatu?

Our pick is Nacional AM or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Nacional AM vs Iguatu?

On our numbers Nacional AM have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Iguatu 22%.

How many goals will there be in Nacional AM vs Iguatu?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nacional AM vs Iguatu?

Our predicted score is Nacional AM 1–0 Iguatu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Nacional AM vs Iguatu?

Nacional AM vs Iguatu (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.