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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alloa Athletic v Stranraer: numbers & prediction

Challenge Cup · Scotland · Recreation Park

Alloa Athletic

LDLDD
2–1
FT

Stranraer

LLLLD
Alloa Athletic 47%Draw 24%Stranraer 29% Expected goals 1.48 – 1.27
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Stranraer to win @ 3.85 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAlloa Athletic to win ✓47% · @1.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.23

Alloa Athletic vs Stranraer: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Stranraer travel to face Alloa Athletic on Tuesday 11 August in the Challenge Cup, with Recreation Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Alloa Athletic, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hamilton Academical, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Stranraer, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Annan Athletic, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Alloa Athletic 2–2 Stranraer.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alloa Athletic 1.5 xG, Stranraer 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alloa Athletic 47%, draw 24%, Stranraer 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Stranraer to win @3.85 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alloa Athletic 1–1 Stranraer. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alloa Athletic47%fair 2.12 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.60
Stranraer29%fair 3.50 · @3.85
2.75Expected goals
1.48Alloa Athletic xG
1.27Stranraer xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Alloa Athletic 1.5 – 1.3 Stranraer expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlloa Athletic to win ✓47%2.121.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.62
Draw no betAlloa Athletic (draw no bet) ✓62%1.61–
Asian handicapStranraer +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreAlloa Athletic to score first50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alloa Athletic / FT Alloa Athletic ✗25%4.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.23–

Recent results

Alloa Athletic – last 6

LDLDDL
8 Aug@ Hamilton Academical0–1L
1 Augvs East Fife0–0D
25 Jul@ Ayr Utd1–4L
21 Julvs Falkirk1–1D
18 Julvs Stranraer2–2D
14 Jul@ Edinburgh City0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Stranraer – last 6

LLLLDL
8 Augvs Annan Athletic0–1L
1 Aug@ Clyde1–3L
25 Jul@ Falkirk0–3L
21 Julvs Edinburgh City0–2L
18 Jul@ Alloa Athletic2–2D
11 Julvs Ayr Utd2–3L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Jul 2026Alloa Athletic v Stranraer2–2
Alloa Athletic vs Stranraer head-to-head page →

More Challenge Cup predictions

League hub
FT Banks O' Dee1 Peterhead5 123%5.40X22%4.20255%1.48 1.2–1.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.48 ✗
FT Berwick Rangers3 Hearts U214 139%2.00X20%4.00241%2.80 2.1–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic1 Annan Athletic0 144%2.40X22%3.70234%2.40 1.9–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.36 ✗
FT Clachnacuddin5 Dundee United II0 165%1.48X20%4.60216%4.75 2.4–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.30 ✓
FT Clydebank4 Hibernian U210 168%1.65X17%4.10215%4.00 2.9–1.0xG 1Clydebank to win 68%@1.65 ✓
FT Dumbarton1 Airdrie United3 120%4.80X23%4.10257%1.53 1.2–2.0xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.50 ✓
FT East Fife2 Spartans2 153%1.80X25%3.65222%3.65 1.8–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓
FT East Kilbride5 Kilmarnock II3 174%1.13X16%6.80210%14.00 3.1–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alloa Athletic vs Stranraer?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Alloa Athletic vs Stranraer?

On our numbers Alloa Athletic have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Stranraer 29%.

How many goals will there be in Alloa Athletic vs Stranraer?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alloa Athletic vs Stranraer?

Our predicted score is Alloa Athletic 1–1 Stranraer, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Alloa Athletic vs Stranraer?

Alloa Athletic vs Stranraer (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Recreation Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.