East Kilbride 74%Draw 16%Kilmarnock II 10%Expected goals 3.14 – 1.35
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEast Kilbride to win ✓74% · @1.13
Double chanceEast Kilbride or draw ✓90% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.78
East Kilbride vs Kilmarnock II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Tuesday 11 August: East Kilbride v Kilmarnock II in the Challenge Cup, played at K-Park Training Academy.
Current form
East Kilbride, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Airdrie United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give East Kilbride 3.1 xG, Kilmarnock II 1.3 xG – a total near 4.5. That is an open game on paper: 78% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – East Kilbride 74%, draw 16%, Kilmarnock II 10%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: East Kilbride 3–1 Kilmarnock II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
East Kilbride74%fair 1.35 · @1.13
Draw16%fair 6.34 · @6.80
Kilmarnock II10%fair 10.08 · @14.00
4.49Expected goals
3.14East Kilbride xG
1.35Kilmarnock II xG
64%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–18%
2–17%
4–16%
3–06%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: East Kilbride 3.1 – 1.3 Kilmarnock II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
East Kilbride to win✓
74%
1.35
1.13
Double chance
East Kilbride or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
East Kilbride (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
East Kilbride -1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.48
First team to score
East Kilbride to score first
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
East Kilbride ahead at half-time✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT East Kilbride / FT East Kilbride✗
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.78
–
Recent results
East Kilbride – last 6
DWLWLW
8 Aug
@ Airdrie United
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Queen of the South
5–1
W
21 Jul
@ ST Mirren
3–4
L
18 Jul
vs Dumbarton
5–3
W
14 Jul
@ Cove Rangers
2–3
L
11 Jul
vs Dunfermline
3–0
W
3.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kilmarnock II
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between East Kilbride and Kilmarnock II.
What is the prediction for East Kilbride vs Kilmarnock II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win East Kilbride vs Kilmarnock II?
On our numbers East Kilbride have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Kilmarnock II 10%.
How many goals will there be in East Kilbride vs Kilmarnock II?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for East Kilbride vs Kilmarnock II?
Our predicted score is East Kilbride 3–1 Kilmarnock II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is East Kilbride vs Kilmarnock II?
East Kilbride vs Kilmarnock II (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at K-Park Training Academy.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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