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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Berwick Rangers v Hearts U21: numbers & prediction

Challenge Cup · Scotland · Shielfield Park
3–4
FT
Berwick Rangers 39%Draw 20%Hearts U21 41% Expected goals 2.13 – 2.32
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Hearts U21 to win @ 2.80 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultHearts U21 to win ✓41% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓73% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.89

Berwick Rangers vs Hearts U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Tuesday 11 August: Berwick Rangers v Hearts U21 in the Challenge Cup, played at Shielfield Park.

Current form

Berwick Rangers, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Brechin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Hearts U21, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Albion Rovers, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Berwick Rangers 2.1 xG, Hearts U21 2.3 xG – a total near 4.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 78% and GG at 73%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Berwick Rangers 39%, draw 20%, Hearts U21 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (73%) at 1.25.
  • Price worth noting: Hearts U21 to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Berwick Rangers 2–2 Hearts U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Berwick Rangers39%fair 2.55 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @4.00
Hearts U2141%fair 2.44 · @2.80
4.44Expected goals
2.13Berwick Rangers xG
2.32Hearts U21 xG
73%Both score
78%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–27%
1–27%
2–16%
1–16%
2–36%
1–35%

From our goals model: Berwick Rangers 2.1 – 2.3 Hearts U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHearts U21 to win ✓41%2.442.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓73%1.361.25
Draw no betHearts U21 (draw no bet) ✓51%1.96–
Asian handicapBerwick Rangers +1 (Asian handicap)68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓60%1.671.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗59%1.691.45
First team to scoreHearts U21 to score first52%1.94–
Half-time resultHearts U21 ahead at half-time ✗37%2.74–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hearts U21 / FT Hearts U21 ✗27%3.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%14.89–

Recent results

Berwick Rangers – last 6

LLDDLW
8 Aug@ Brechin3–4L
1 Augvs Hill Of Beath Hawthorn0–2L
25 Jul@ Lochee United1–1D
7 Aprvs Tranent Juniors0–0D
1 Aprvs Cumbernauld Colts2–3L
21 Feb@ East Stirlingshire3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Hearts U21 – last 6

WLLDLL
10 Aprvs Albion Rovers3–0W
3 Apr@ East Stirlingshire2–4L
20 Marvs Clydebank0–8L
6 Marvs Gretna 20081–1D
27 Feb@ Cumbernauld Colts0–3L
20 Febvs Broxburn Athletic0–1L
1.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Berwick Rangers and Hearts U21.

Berwick Rangers vs Hearts U21 head-to-head page →

More Challenge Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Berwick Rangers vs Hearts U21?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Berwick Rangers vs Hearts U21?

On our numbers Berwick Rangers have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hearts U21 41%.

How many goals will there be in Berwick Rangers vs Hearts U21?

We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Berwick Rangers vs Hearts U21?

Our predicted score is Berwick Rangers 2–2 Hearts U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.

When is Berwick Rangers vs Hearts U21?

Berwick Rangers vs Hearts U21 (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Shielfield Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.