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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic v Annan Athletic: numbers & prediction

Challenge Cup · Scotland · New Dundas Park

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic

WLWWD
1–0
FT

Annan Athletic

WLLLL
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 44%Draw 22%Annan Athletic 34% Expected goals 1.88 – 1.35
68%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.36Odds
1

Value bet: Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic to win @ 2.40 – our chance 44% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBonnyrigg Rose Athletic to win ✓44% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.36
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.61

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Annan Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 11 August the Challenge Cup brings Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic against Annan Athletic at New Dundas Park. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over East Stirlingshire, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Annan Athletic, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Stranraer, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Annan Athletic.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1.9 xG, Annan Athletic 1.4 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 44%, draw 22%, Annan Athletic 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.36.
  • Price worth noting: Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 44%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1–1 Annan Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic44%fair 2.26 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.70
Annan Athletic34%fair 2.97 · @2.40
3.23Expected goals
1.88Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic xG
1.35Annan Athletic xG
68%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%

From our goals model: Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1.9 – 1.4 Annan Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBonnyrigg Rose Athletic to win ✓44%2.262.40 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗68%1.471.36
Draw no betBonnyrigg Rose Athletic (draw no bet) ✓57%1.76–
Asian handicapAnnan Athletic +1 (Asian handicap)64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64%1.561.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.751.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.331.28
First team to scoreBonnyrigg Rose Athletic to score first ✓56%1.79–
Half-time resultBonnyrigg Rose Athletic ahead at half-time ✓38%2.63–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic / FT Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic ✓31%3.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.61–

Recent results

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic – last 6

WLWWDW
8 Augvs East Stirlingshire4–1W
1 Augvs Brechin1–2L
28 Jul@ Bo'ness United4–0W
25 Jul@ Musselburgh Athletic3–0W
4 Jul@ Edinburgh City1–1D
21 Feb@ Stirling University1–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Annan Athletic – last 6

WLLLLL
8 Aug@ Stranraer1–0W
1 Augvs Spartans2–4L
25 Jul@ Ashton Town2–3L
21 Jul@ Clyde1–4L
18 Jul@ Airdrie United0–3L
14 Julvs Dundee0–5L
1.0Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and Annan Athletic.

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Annan Athletic head-to-head page →

More Challenge Cup predictions

League hub
FT Alloa Athletic2 Stranraer1 147%1.77X24%3.60229%3.85 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓
FT Banks O' Dee1 Peterhead5 123%5.40X22%4.20255%1.48 1.2–1.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.48 ✗
FT Berwick Rangers3 Hearts U214 139%2.00X20%4.00241%2.80 2.1–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Clachnacuddin5 Dundee United II0 165%1.48X20%4.60216%4.75 2.4–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.30 ✓
FT Clydebank4 Hibernian U210 168%1.65X17%4.10215%4.00 2.9–1.0xG 1Clydebank to win 68%@1.65 ✓
FT Dumbarton1 Airdrie United3 120%4.80X23%4.10257%1.53 1.2–2.0xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.50 ✓
FT East Fife2 Spartans2 153%1.80X25%3.65222%3.65 1.8–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓
FT East Kilbride5 Kilmarnock II3 174%1.13X16%6.80210%14.00 3.1–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Annan Athletic?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Annan Athletic?

On our numbers Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Annan Athletic 34%.

How many goals will there be in Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Annan Athletic?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Annan Athletic?

Our predicted score is Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1–1 Annan Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Annan Athletic?

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Annan Athletic (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at New Dundas Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.