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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kelty Hearts v Motherwell U21: numbers & prediction

Challenge Cup · Scotland · New Central Park
Kelty Hearts 64%Draw 19%Motherwell U21 17% Expected goals 2.27 – 1.09
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.45Odds

Picks by market

ResultKelty Hearts to win ✓64% · @1.40
Double chanceKelty Hearts or draw ✓83% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25

Kelty Hearts vs Motherwell U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Tuesday 11 August: Kelty Hearts v Motherwell U21 in the Challenge Cup, played at New Central Park.

Current form

Kelty Hearts, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Stirling Albion, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kelty Hearts 2.3 xG, Motherwell U21 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kelty Hearts 64%, draw 19%, Motherwell U21 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kelty Hearts 2–1 Motherwell U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kelty Hearts64%fair 1.57 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @4.60
Motherwell U2117%fair 5.82 · @5.75
3.36Expected goals
2.27Kelty Hearts xG
1.09Motherwell U21 xG
60%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Kelty Hearts 2.3 – 1.1 Motherwell U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKelty Hearts to win ✓64%1.571.40
Double chanceKelty Hearts or draw ✓83%1.211.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.60
Draw no betKelty Hearts (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapKelty Hearts -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.551.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.761.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗75%1.341.25
First team to scoreKelty Hearts to score first65%1.53–
Half-time resultKelty Hearts ahead at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kelty Hearts / FT Kelty Hearts ✓42%2.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.25–

Recent results

Kelty Hearts – last 6

WLLWLD
8 Augvs Stirling Albion3–2W
1 Aug@ Forfar Athletic0–1L
25 Jul@ Aberdeen0–3L
21 Julvs Brora Rangers3–2W
14 Julvs Queen's Park1–2L
11 Jul@ Queen of the South1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Motherwell U21

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kelty Hearts and Motherwell U21.

Kelty Hearts vs Motherwell U21 head-to-head page →

More Challenge Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kelty Hearts vs Motherwell U21?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Kelty Hearts vs Motherwell U21?

On our numbers Kelty Hearts have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Motherwell U21 17%.

How many goals will there be in Kelty Hearts vs Motherwell U21?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kelty Hearts vs Motherwell U21?

Our predicted score is Kelty Hearts 2–1 Motherwell U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Kelty Hearts vs Motherwell U21?

Kelty Hearts vs Motherwell U21 (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at New Central Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.