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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alfreton Town v Warrington Town: numbers & prediction

1–1
FT
Alfreton Town 45%Draw 20%Warrington Town 35% Expected goals 1.58 – 1.35
56%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlfreton Town to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗4% · fair 28.56

Alfreton Town vs Warrington Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Alfreton Town v Warrington Town in the Non League Premier Northern. In the table, Alfreton Town are 11th, upper half, on 23 points after 18 matches; Warrington Town are 9th (upper half) with 29.

Current form

Alfreton Town, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ashton United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Warrington Town, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bamber Bridge, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alfreton Town 1.6 xG, Warrington Town 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alfreton Town 45%, draw 20%, Warrington Town 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alfreton Town 2–1 Warrington Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alfreton Town45%fair 2.22 · @2.05
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Warrington Town35%fair 2.86 · @2.88
2.93Expected goals
1.58Alfreton Town xG
1.35Warrington Town xG
50%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: Alfreton Town 1.6 – 1.3 Warrington Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlfreton Town to win ✗45%2.222.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%2.00–
Draw no betAlfreton Town (draw no bet)56%1.78–
Asian handicapWarrington Town +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.801.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreAlfreton Town to score first51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alfreton Town / FT Alfreton Town ✗26%3.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗4%28.56–

Recent results

Alfreton Town – last 6

DLWLWW
13 Oct@ Ashton United0–0D
10 Octvs Bury2–3L
6 Octvs United of Manchester1–0W
3 Oct@ Redcar Athletic1–3L
29 Sepvs Guiseley AFC1–0W
26 Sepvs Shifnal Town FC2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Warrington Town – last 6

WDDLDW
13 Oct@ Bamber Bridge1–0W
10 Octvs Lancaster City2–2D
6 Octvs Workington2–2D
3 Oct@ Marine0–2L
26 Sepvs Ashton United2–2D
19 Sepvs South Liverpool3–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Alfreton Town and Warrington Town.

Alfreton Town vs Warrington Town head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Northern table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Redcar Athletic181152+2238
2Curzon Ashton181215+1437
3Cleethorpes Town171133+2436
4Guiseley AFC161033+1833
5Rylands17935+730
6Workington18936+430
7Bury16925+1429
8Gainsborough Trinity17926+929
9Warrington Town17854+729
10Avro17926+629
11Alfreton Town18729-223
12AFC Emley18657-823
13Quorn17566-221
14Lancaster City18639-1121
15Whitby Town176110-2119
16Stockton Town185310-518
17Hyde United17539-1318
18Ashton United17458-217
19Leek Town17458-517
20Ilkeston Town184113-2513
21United of Manchester16268-712
22Bamber Bridge182511-2411

More Non League Premier Northern predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alfreton Town vs Warrington Town?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Alfreton Town vs Warrington Town?

On our numbers Alfreton Town have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Warrington Town 35%.

How many goals will there be in Alfreton Town vs Warrington Town?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alfreton Town vs Warrington Town?

Our predicted score is Alfreton Town 2–1 Warrington Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Alfreton Town vs Warrington Town?

Alfreton Town vs Warrington Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.