Ashton United 22%Draw 17%Redcar Athletic 60%Expected goals 0.95 – 1.81
60%
Betarazi pick
Redcar Athletic to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Picks by market
ResultRedcar Athletic to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗6% · fair 16.04
Ashton United vs Redcar Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Non League Premier Northern brings Ashton United against Redcar Athletic. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Ashton United are 18th, lower half, on 17 points after 17 matches; Redcar Athletic are 1st (leading the league) with 38. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ashton United, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Alfreton Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Redcar Athletic, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Avro, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Redcar Athletic, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Ashton United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ashton United 1.0 xG, Redcar Athletic 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ashton United 22%, draw 17%, Redcar Athletic 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Redcar Athletic to win (60%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ashton United 0–1 Redcar Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ashton United22%fair 4.47 · @3.10
Draw17%fair 5.79 · @3.60
Redcar Athletic60%fair 1.66 · @1.95
2.76Expected goals
0.95Ashton United xG
1.81Redcar Athletic xG
46%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–06%
0–36%
From our goals model: Ashton United 1.0 – 1.8 Redcar Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Redcar Athletic to win✓
60%
1.66
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Redcar Athletic (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Ashton United +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Redcar Athletic to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Redcar Athletic ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Redcar Athletic / FT Redcar Athletic✓
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
6%
16.04
–
Recent results
Ashton United – last 6
DDDDLL
13 Oct
vs Alfreton Town
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Leek Town
2–2
D
6 Oct
@ Quorn
2–2
D
26 Sep
@ Warrington Town
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ Buxton
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Cleethorpes Town
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Redcar Athletic – last 6
WWLWWD
13 Oct
vs Avro
3–1
W
10 Oct
@ Ilkeston Town
5–0
W
6 Oct
@ Curzon Ashton
1–3
L
3 Oct
vs Alfreton Town
3–1
W
26 Sep
@ Guisborough Town
1–0
W
22 Sep
@ Cleethorpes Town
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ashton United and Redcar Athletic.
What is the prediction for Ashton United vs Redcar Athletic?
Our pick is Redcar Athletic to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Ashton United vs Redcar Athletic?
On our numbers Ashton United have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Redcar Athletic 60%.
How many goals will there be in Ashton United vs Redcar Athletic?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ashton United vs Redcar Athletic?
Our predicted score is Ashton United 0–1 Redcar Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ashton United vs Redcar Athletic?
Ashton United vs Redcar Athletic (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
