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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Stockton Town v AFC Emley: numbers & prediction

1–3
FT
Stockton Town 60%Draw 22%AFC Emley 19% Expected goals 1.95 – 1.00
60%
Betarazi pick

Stockton Town to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultStockton Town to win ✗60% · @1.65
Double chanceStockton Town or draw ✗81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Stockton Town vs AFC Emley: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 17 October the Non League Premier Northern brings Stockton Town against AFC Emley. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Stockton Town are 16th, lower half, on 18 points after 18 matches; AFC Emley are 12th (lower half) with 23.

Current form

Stockton Town, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lancaster City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

AFC Emley, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with United of Manchester, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Stockton Town, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for AFC Emley.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stockton Town 2.0 xG, AFC Emley 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stockton Town 60%, draw 22%, AFC Emley 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Stockton Town or draw (81%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Stockton Town to win (60%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stockton Town 1–0 AFC Emley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stockton Town60%fair 1.68 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.80
AFC Emley19%fair 5.30 · @4.00
2.95Expected goals
1.95Stockton Town xG
1.00AFC Emley xG
51%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Stockton Town 2.0 – 1.0 AFC Emley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStockton Town to win ✗60%1.681.65
Double chanceStockton Town or draw ✗81%1.231.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.98–
Draw no betStockton Town (draw no bet) ✗76%1.32–
Asian handicapAFC Emley +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
First team to scoreStockton Town to score first ✗63%1.60–
Half-time resultStockton Town ahead at half-time ✗43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stockton Town / FT Stockton Town ✗38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Stockton Town – last 6

LDWLLW
13 Oct@ Lancaster City0–1L
10 Octvs United of Manchester2–2D
6 Octvs Bury1–0W
3 Oct@ Hyde United1–2L
26 Sep@ Rylands1–3L
19 Sepvs Bamber Bridge5–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

AFC Emley – last 6

DLLLLL
13 Oct@ United of Manchester1–1D
10 Octvs Gainsborough Trinity1–2L
3 Oct@ Rylands1–4L
29 Sepvs Workington1–3L
26 Sep@ Bootle0–5L
19 Sepvs Spennymoor Town0–4L
0.7Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Stockton Town and AFC Emley.

Stockton Town vs AFC Emley head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Northern table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Redcar Athletic181152+2238
2Curzon Ashton181215+1437
3Cleethorpes Town171133+2436
4Guiseley AFC161033+1833
5Rylands17935+730
6Workington18936+430
7Bury16925+1429
8Gainsborough Trinity17926+929
9Warrington Town17854+729
10Avro17926+629
11Alfreton Town18729-223
12AFC Emley18657-823
13Quorn17566-221
14Lancaster City18639-1121
15Whitby Town176110-2119
16Stockton Town185310-518
17Hyde United17539-1318
18Ashton United17458-217
19Leek Town17458-517
20Ilkeston Town184113-2513
21United of Manchester16268-712
22Bamber Bridge182511-2411

More Non League Premier Northern predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stockton Town vs AFC Emley?

Our pick is Stockton Town to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Stockton Town vs AFC Emley?

On our numbers Stockton Town have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AFC Emley 19%.

How many goals will there be in Stockton Town vs AFC Emley?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stockton Town vs AFC Emley?

Our predicted score is Stockton Town 1–0 AFC Emley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Stockton Town vs AFC Emley?

Stockton Town vs AFC Emley (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.