Lancaster City 45%Draw 21%Leek Town 34%Expected goals 1.76 – 1.48
59%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultLancaster City to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.15
Lancaster City vs Leek Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lancaster City welcome Leek Town for a Non League Premier Northern fixture on Saturday 17 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Lancaster City are 14th, lower half, on 21 points after 18 matches; Leek Town are 19th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Lancaster City, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Stockton Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Leek Town, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Ashton United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lancaster City 1.8 xG, Leek Town 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lancaster City 45%, draw 21%, Leek Town 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lancaster City 2–1 Leek Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lancaster City45%fair 2.20 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Leek Town34%fair 2.96 · @3.00
3.24Expected goals
1.76Lancaster City xG
1.48Leek Town xG
54%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Lancaster City 1.8 – 1.5 Leek Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lancaster City to win✗
45%
2.20
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Lancaster City (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Leek Town +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
First team to score
Lancaster City to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lancaster City / FT Lancaster City✗
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.15
–
Recent results
Lancaster City – last 6
WDLWWL
13 Oct
vs Stockton Town
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Warrington Town
2–2
D
7 Oct
@ Avro
3–5
L
3 Oct
vs Ilkeston Town
2–1
W
29 Sep
@ Whitby Town
2–1
W
26 Sep
@ Cleethorpes Town
1–5
L
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Leek Town – last 6
DDWWLL
10 Oct
vs Ashton United
2–2
D
6 Oct
vs Rylands
3–3
D
26 Sep
@ Worcester City
2–0
W
22 Sep
vs Hyde United
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Bromsgrove Sporting
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Redcar Athletic
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lancaster City and Leek Town.
What is the prediction for Lancaster City vs Leek Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Lancaster City vs Leek Town?
On our numbers Lancaster City have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Leek Town 34%.
How many goals will there be in Lancaster City vs Leek Town?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lancaster City vs Leek Town?
Our predicted score is Lancaster City 2–1 Leek Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Lancaster City vs Leek Town?
Lancaster City vs Leek Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
