Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.65 – our chance 66% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCaldas to win ✗43% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.92
Caldas vs Lusitano Évora 1911: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lusitano Évora 1911 travel to face Caldas on Sunday 16 August in the Liga 3, with Campo da Mata the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Caldas are 7th, upper half, on 11 points after 9 matches; Lusitano Évora 1911 are 10th (upper half) with 7.
Current form
Caldas, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to CF Os Belenenses, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Lusitano Évora 1911, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atlético CP, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Caldas 1–1 Lusitano Évora 1911.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caldas 0.9 xG, Lusitano Évora 1911 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caldas 43%, draw 23%, Lusitano Évora 1911 34%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.65 – the bookmaker implies 61%, our ratings say 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caldas 0–0 Lusitano Évora 1911. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caldas43%fair 2.34 · @2.35
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.10
Lusitano Évora 191134%fair 2.94 · @2.88
1.71Expected goals
0.93Caldas xG
0.78Lusitano Évora 1911 xG
48%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–018%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Caldas 0.9 – 0.8 Lusitano Évora 1911 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Caldas vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Caldas vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
On our numbers Caldas have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lusitano Évora 1911 34%.
How many goals will there be in Caldas vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caldas vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
Our predicted score is Caldas 0–0 Lusitano Évora 1911, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Caldas vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
Caldas vs Lusitano Évora 1911 (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo da Mata.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
