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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

São João Ver v Fafe: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Portugal
1–3
FT

Fafe

DWLWL
São João Ver 36%Draw 23%Fafe 41% Expected goals 0.80 – 0.90
83%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
U2.5

Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.65 – our chance 66% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFafe to win ✓41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.10

São João Ver vs Fafe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 16 August the Liga 3 brings São João Ver against Fafe. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, São João Ver are 9th, upper half, on 9 points after 9 matches; Fafe are 4th (among the top four) with 13.

Current form

São João Ver, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Leça, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Fafe, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Vianense, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Apr 2026) it ended Fafe 1–2 São João Ver. The last 2 head-to-heads: São João Ver 2 wins, Fafe 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give São João Ver 0.8 xG, Fafe 0.9 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – São João Ver 36%, draw 23%, Fafe 41%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.65 – the bookmaker implies 61%, our ratings say 66%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: São João Ver 0–0 Fafe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

São João Ver36%fair 2.80 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.20
Fafe41%fair 2.41 · @2.25
1.71Expected goals
0.80São João Ver xG
0.90Fafe xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–018%
0–116%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%

From our goals model: São João Ver 0.8 – 0.9 Fafe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFafe to win ✓41%2.412.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.991.80
Draw no betFafe (draw no bet) ✓54%1.86–
Asian handicapSão João Ver +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.691.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66%1.511.65 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83%1.201.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreFafe to score first ✓43%2.31–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗54%1.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗26%3.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16%6.10–

Recent results

São João Ver – last 6

DDLWWD
9 Aug@ Leça1–1D
29 Jul@ Tondela1–1D
3 Jul@ SC Braga0–1L
28 Apr@ Fafe2–1W
15 Marvs Paredes3–1W
8 Marvs SC Braga B1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Fafe – last 6

DWLWLL
9 Augvs Vianense0–0D
31 Julvs Maria da Fonte2–0W
15 Jul@ Chaves1–4L
11 Jul@ Vizela3–0W
28 Aprvs São João Ver1–2L
23 Apr@ Torreense0–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Apr 2026Fafe v São João Ver1–2
21 Feb 2026São João Ver v Fafe1–0
São João Ver vs Fafe head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for São João Ver vs Fafe?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win São João Ver vs Fafe?

On our numbers São João Ver have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fafe 41%.

How many goals will there be in São João Ver vs Fafe?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for São João Ver vs Fafe?

Our predicted score is São João Ver 0–0 Fafe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is São João Ver vs Fafe?

São João Ver vs Fafe (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.