AD Marco 09 60%Draw 22%Vianense 18%Expected goals 1.41 – 0.59
82%
Betarazi pick
AD Marco 09 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: AD Marco 09 to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAD Marco 09 to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceAD Marco 09 or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.25
AD Marco 09 vs Vianense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 23 August: AD Marco 09 v Vianense in the Liga 3. In the table, AD Marco 09 are 3rd, among the top four, on 14 points after 9 matches; Vianense are 7th (upper half) with 11. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
AD Marco 09, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Varzim, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Vianense, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Trofense, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Vianense, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for AD Marco 09.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AD Marco 09 1.4 xG, Vianense 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AD Marco 09 60%, draw 22%, Vianense 18%.
Lower-risk option: AD Marco 09 or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: AD Marco 09 to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was AD Marco 09 or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: AD Marco 09 1–0 Vianense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AD Marco 0960%fair 1.68 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.00
Vianense18%fair 5.47 · @3.60
2.00Expected goals
1.41AD Marco 09 xG
0.59Vianense xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: AD Marco 09 1.4 – 0.6 Vianense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AD Marco 09 to win✓
60%
1.68
1.95 ▲
Double chance
AD Marco 09 or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Draw no bet
AD Marco 09 (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Vianense +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
AD Marco 09 to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AD Marco 09 / FT AD Marco 09✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.25
–
Recent results
AD Marco 09 – last 6
LWDLDD
16 Aug
@ Varzim
1–2
L
9 Aug
vs Pacos Ferreira
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Cinfães
1–1
D
15 Jul
@ União de Leiria
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Fafe
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Sanjoanense
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Vianense – last 6
WDLWLW
15 Aug
vs Trofense
2–0
W
9 Aug
@ Fafe
0–0
D
29 Jul
@ AVS
0–3
L
31 May
vs Rebordosa
2–0
W
17 May
vs Leça
3–4
L
22 Mar
@ Ribeira Brava
5–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AD Marco 09 and Vianense.
What is the prediction for AD Marco 09 vs Vianense?
Our pick is AD Marco 09 or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win AD Marco 09 vs Vianense?
On our numbers AD Marco 09 have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vianense 18%.
How many goals will there be in AD Marco 09 vs Vianense?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Marco 09 vs Vianense?
Our predicted score is AD Marco 09 1–0 Vianense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is AD Marco 09 vs Vianense?
AD Marco 09 vs Vianense (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
