Oliveirense 61%Draw 26%Vitória de Sernache 13%Expected goals 1.34 – 0.41
61%
Betarazi pick
Oliveirense to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultOliveirense to win ✓61% · @1.73
Double chanceOliveirense or draw ✓87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.31
Oliveirense vs Vitória de Sernache: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vitória de Sernache travel to face Oliveirense on Sunday 23 August in the Liga 3, with Estadio Carlos Osorio the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Oliveirense are 3rd, among the top four, on 13 points after 9 matches; Vitória de Sernache are 8th (upper half) with 7.
Current form
Oliveirense, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with União Santarém, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Vitória de Sernache, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with SC Covilha, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oliveirense 1.3 xG, Vitória de Sernache 0.4 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oliveirense 61%, draw 26%, Vitória de Sernache 13%.
Lower-risk option: Oliveirense or draw (87%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Oliveirense to win (61%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oliveirense 1–0 Vitória de Sernache. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oliveirense61%fair 1.63 · @1.73
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.30
Vitória de Sernache13%fair 7.91 · @4.33
1.75Expected goals
1.34Oliveirense xG
0.41Vitória de Sernache xG
46%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–023%
0–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Oliveirense 1.3 – 0.4 Vitória de Sernache expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oliveirense to win✓
61%
1.63
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Oliveirense or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.73
Draw no bet
Oliveirense (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Oliveirense -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Oliveirense to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oliveirense / FT Oliveirense✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.31
–
Recent results
Oliveirense – last 6
DDLDLW
14 Aug
@ União Santarém
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Louletano
0–0
D
17 May
vs Felgueiras 1932
1–5
L
2 May
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
0–0
D
27 Apr
@ Chaves
1–2
L
22 Apr
vs Benfica B
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vitória de Sernache – last 6
DLDDDD
16 Aug
vs SC Covilha
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Mafra
0–5
L
10 Jun
@ Leça
1–1
D
31 May
vs Louletano
1–1
D
17 May
vs Oliveira Hospital
0–0
D
25 Mar
vs Benfica Castelo Branco
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oliveirense and Vitória de Sernache.
What is the prediction for Oliveirense vs Vitória de Sernache?
Our pick is Oliveirense to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Oliveirense vs Vitória de Sernache?
On our numbers Oliveirense have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Vitória de Sernache 13%.
How many goals will there be in Oliveirense vs Vitória de Sernache?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oliveirense vs Vitória de Sernache?
Our predicted score is Oliveirense 1–0 Vitória de Sernache, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Oliveirense vs Vitória de Sernache?
Oliveirense vs Vitória de Sernache (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Osorio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
