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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Caldas v Louletano: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Portugal · Campo da Mata

Caldas

DLDDL
2–4
FT
Caldas 46%Draw 25%Louletano 29% Expected goals 0.76 – 0.49
54%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.86 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultCaldas to win ✗46% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗64% · fair 1.55
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.57

Caldas vs Louletano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Caldas welcome Louletano to Campo da Mata for a Liga 3 fixture on Sunday 23 August (17:00 WAT). In the table, Caldas are 7th, upper half, on 11 points after 9 matches; Louletano are 6th (upper half) with 11. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Caldas, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Lusitano Évora 1911, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Louletano, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to CF Os Belenenses, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Louletano, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Caldas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Caldas 0.8 xG, Louletano 0.5 xG – a total near 1.3. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 87%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Caldas 46%, draw 25%, Louletano 29%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caldas 0–0 Louletano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Caldas46%fair 2.16 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.80
Louletano29%fair 3.46 · @3.40
1.25Expected goals
0.76Caldas xG
0.49Louletano xG
46%Both score
13%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–029%
1–022%
0–114%
1–111%
2–08%
2–14%

From our goals model: Caldas 0.8 – 0.5 Louletano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCaldas to win ✗46%2.162.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.861.75
Draw no betCaldas (draw no bet) ✗62%1.63–
Asian handicapLouletano +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗96%1.04–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗99%1.01–
First team to scoreCaldas to score first ✗44%2.29–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗62%1.62–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗34%2.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22%4.57–

Recent results

Caldas – last 6

DLDDLW
16 Augvs Lusitano Évora 19110–0D
8 Aug@ CF Os Belenenses0–1L
1 Augvs Academica2–2D
22 Marvs Lusitano Évora 19111–1D
22 Feb@ SC Covilha0–1L
15 Febvs 1º Dezembro2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Louletano – last 6

LDDDWW
15 Augvs CF Os Belenenses1–3L
8 Aug@ Oliveirense0–0D
31 May@ Vitória de Sernache1–1D
17 Mayvs Atlético Malveira1–1D
22 Mar@ Comércio Indústria4–1W
15 Marvs FC Serpa2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Caldas and Louletano.

Caldas vs Louletano head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Caldas vs Louletano?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Caldas vs Louletano?

On our numbers Caldas have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Louletano 29%.

How many goals will there be in Caldas vs Louletano?

We expect about 1.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 13% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Caldas vs Louletano?

Our predicted score is Caldas 0–0 Louletano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.3 goals in total.

When is Caldas vs Louletano?

Caldas vs Louletano (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo da Mata.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.