Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Mafra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lusitano Évora 1911 welcome Mafra for a Liga 3 fixture on Saturday 22 August (17:00 WAT). In the table, Lusitano Évora 1911 are 10th, upper half, on 7 points after 9 matches; Mafra are 5th (upper half) with 12.
Current form
Lusitano Évora 1911, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Caldas, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Mafra, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atlético CP, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Mafra, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Lusitano Évora 1911.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lusitano Évora 1911 1.0 xG, Mafra 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lusitano Évora 1911 39%, draw 25%, Mafra 36%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.91, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lusitano Évora 1911 1–1 Mafra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lusitano Évora 191139%fair 2.57 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @2.75
Mafra36%fair 2.77 · @2.62
2.00Expected goals
1.03Lusitano Évora 1911 xG
0.97Mafra xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Lusitano Évora 1911 1.0 – 1.0 Mafra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lusitano Évora 1911 to win✓
39%
2.57
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.95
Draw no bet
Lusitano Évora 1911 (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Mafra +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Lusitano Évora 1911 to score first
44%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
7%
14.41
–
Recent results
Lusitano Évora 1911 – last 6
DLDDWL
16 Aug
@ Caldas
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Atlético CP
0–1
L
15 Jul
@ Benfica B
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Caldas
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Amora
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Atlético CP
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Mafra – last 6
DWWLWW
15 Aug
@ Atlético CP
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Vitória de Sernache
5–0
W
25 Jul
vs Alverca
1–0
W
15 Jul
@ FC Fredericia
2–3
L
11 Jul
@ Esbjerg
2–0
W
3 May
@ Guimaraes B
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lusitano Évora 1911 and Mafra.
What is the prediction for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Mafra?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Mafra?
On our numbers Lusitano Évora 1911 have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mafra 36%.
How many goals will there be in Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Mafra?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Mafra?
Our predicted score is Lusitano Évora 1911 1–1 Mafra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Mafra?
Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Mafra (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
