Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.32
Pacos Ferreira vs Varzim: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the Liga 3 brings Pacos Ferreira against Varzim. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, Pacos Ferreira are 8th, upper half, on 11 points after 9 matches; Varzim are 6th (upper half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pacos Ferreira, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Paredes, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Varzim, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over AD Marco 09, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Varzim, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Pacos Ferreira.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pacos Ferreira 1.0 xG, Varzim 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pacos Ferreira 37%, draw 24%, Varzim 38%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pacos Ferreira 0–1 Varzim. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pacos Ferreira37%fair 2.67 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.90
Varzim38%fair 2.61 · @2.62
2.00Expected goals
0.99Pacos Ferreira xG
1.01Varzim xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Pacos Ferreira 1.0 – 1.0 Varzim expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Varzim to win✓
38%
2.61
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.83
Draw no bet
Varzim (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Pacos Ferreira +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Varzim to score first
44%
2.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.32
–
Recent results
Pacos Ferreira – last 6
LLDLWL
15 Aug
vs Paredes
0–1
L
9 Aug
@ AD Marco 09
1–2
L
29 Jul
vs Felgueiras 1932
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs AVS
0–2
L
17 May
vs Penafiel
2–1
W
3 May
vs Feirense
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Varzim – last 6
WWWLLL
16 Aug
vs AD Marco 09
2–1
W
9 Aug
@ Trofense
1–0
W
29 Jul
@ Tirsense
1–0
W
15 Jul
@ Tondela
0–1
L
11 Apr
vs Mafra
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Mafra
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pacos Ferreira and Varzim.
What is the prediction for Pacos Ferreira vs Varzim?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Pacos Ferreira vs Varzim?
On our numbers Pacos Ferreira have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Varzim 38%.
How many goals will there be in Pacos Ferreira vs Varzim?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pacos Ferreira vs Varzim?
Our predicted score is Pacos Ferreira 0–1 Varzim, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Pacos Ferreira vs Varzim?
Pacos Ferreira vs Varzim (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
