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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CF Os Belenenses v União Santarém: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Portugal
CF Os Belenenses 63%Draw 24%União Santarém 13% Expected goals 1.66 – 0.59
63%
Betarazi pick

CF Os Belenenses to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultCF Os Belenenses to win ✓63% · @1.67
Double chanceCF Os Belenenses or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.73

CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Saturday 22 August: CF Os Belenenses v União Santarém in the Liga 3. In the table, CF Os Belenenses are 1st, leading the league, on 21 points after 9 matches; União Santarém are 4th (among the top four) with 13.

Current form

CF Os Belenenses, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Louletano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

União Santarém, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Oliveirense, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours CF Os Belenenses, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for União Santarém.

Head to head

When they last met (2 May 2026) it ended CF Os Belenenses 1–1 União Santarém.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CF Os Belenenses 1.7 xG, União Santarém 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CF Os Belenenses 63%, draw 24%, União Santarém 13%.
  • Lower-risk option: CF Os Belenenses or draw (87%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was CF Os Belenenses to win (63%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: CF Os Belenenses 1–0 União Santarém. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CF Os Belenenses63%fair 1.58 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.30
União Santarém13%fair 7.74 · @4.75
2.25Expected goals
1.66CF Os Belenenses xG
0.59União Santarém xG
49%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: CF Os Belenenses 1.7 – 0.6 União Santarém expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCF Os Belenenses to win ✓63%1.581.67 ▲
Double chanceCF Os Belenenses or draw ✓87%1.151.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.941.75
Draw no betCF Os Belenenses (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapCF Os Belenenses -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗92%1.08–
First team to scoreCF Os Belenenses to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT CF Os Belenenses / FT CF Os Belenenses ✓39%2.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%5.73–

Recent results

CF Os Belenenses – last 6

WWDLLD
15 Aug@ Louletano3–1W
8 Augvs Caldas1–0W
31 Julvs Estoril1–1D
24 Jul@ Benfica1–5L
17 Jul@ Alverca1–2L
30 Mayvs Farense0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

União Santarém – last 6

DLDLDD
14 Augvs Oliveirense1–1D
8 Aug@ SC Covilha0–2L
31 Julvs Academica0–0D
10 May@ Amarante0–1L
2 May@ CF Os Belenenses1–1D
26 Aprvs Academica1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 May 2026CF Os Belenenses v União Santarém1–1
CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém?

Our pick is CF Os Belenenses to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém?

On our numbers CF Os Belenenses have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and União Santarém 13%.

How many goals will there be in CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém?

Our predicted score is CF Os Belenenses 1–0 União Santarém, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém?

CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.