Value bet: Trofense to win @ 2.88 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTrofense to win ✓39% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.84
Trofense vs São João Ver: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the Liga 3 brings Trofense against São João Ver. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Trofense are 10th, upper half, on 5 points after 9 matches; São João Ver are 9th (upper half) with 9.
Current form
Trofense, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Vianense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
São João Ver, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Fafe, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Trofense 1.2 xG, São João Ver 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Trofense 39%, draw 26%, São João Ver 35%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Trofense to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trofense 1–1 São João Ver. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Trofense39%fair 2.54 · @2.88
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.75
São João Ver35%fair 2.87 · @2.50
2.25Expected goals
1.17Trofense xG
1.08São João Ver xG
56%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Trofense 1.2 – 1.1 São João Ver expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trofense to win✓
39%
2.54
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Trofense (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
São João Ver +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Trofense to score first✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trofense / FT Trofense✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.84
–
Recent results
Trofense – last 6
LLDDLW
15 Aug
@ Vianense
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs Varzim
0–1
L
31 Jul
@ AVS
1–1
D
1 May
vs Amarante
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs CF Os Belenenses
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Guimaraes B
2–1
W
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
São João Ver – last 6
LDDLWW
16 Aug
vs Fafe
1–3
L
9 Aug
@ Leça
1–1
D
29 Jul
@ Tondela
1–1
D
3 Jul
@ SC Braga
0–1
L
28 Apr
@ Fafe
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Paredes
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trofense and São João Ver.
What is the prediction for Trofense vs São João Ver?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Trofense vs São João Ver?
On our numbers Trofense have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and São João Ver 35%.
How many goals will there be in Trofense vs São João Ver?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trofense vs São João Ver?
Our predicted score is Trofense 1–1 São João Ver, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Trofense vs São João Ver?
Trofense vs São João Ver (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
