Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultFafe to win ✗64% · @1.55
Double chanceFafe or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.34
Fafe vs Trofense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fafe welcome Trofense to Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe for a Liga 3 fixture on Sunday 11 October (16:30 WAT). In the table, Fafe are 4th, among the top four, on 13 points after 9 matches; Trofense are 10th (upper half) with 5.
Current form
Fafe, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Lajense, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Trofense, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Leça, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Fafe, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Trofense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fafe 1.5 xG, Trofense 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fafe 64%, draw 20%, Trofense 16%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fafe to win (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fafe 1–0 Trofense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fafe64%fair 1.57 · @1.55
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.40
Trofense16%fair 6.12 · @5.80
2.10Expected goals
1.53Fafe xG
0.57Trofense xG
47%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Fafe 1.5 – 0.6 Trofense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fafe to win✗
64%
1.57
1.55
Double chance
Fafe or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.70
Draw no bet
Fafe (draw no bet)
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Fafe -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Fafe to score first✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fafe / FT Fafe✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.34
–
Recent results
Fafe – last 6
WLWDDW
20 Sep
vs Lajense
4–0
W
13 Sep
@ Paredes
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Leça
3–0
W
29 Aug
@ Pacos Ferreira
0–0
D
21 Aug
vs Guimaraes B
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ São João Ver
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Trofense – last 6
LDLWLL
12 Sep
vs Leça
1–4
L
5 Sep
@ Guimaraes B
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Varzim
1–5
L
22 Aug
vs São João Ver
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Vianense
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs Varzim
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fafe and Trofense.
Our pick is Fafe to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Fafe vs Trofense?
On our numbers Fafe have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Trofense 16%.
How many goals will there be in Fafe vs Trofense?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fafe vs Trofense?
Our predicted score is Fafe 1–0 Trofense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Fafe vs Trofense?
Fafe vs Trofense (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
