Value bet: Pacos Ferreira to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGuimaraes B to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.00
Guimaraes B vs Pacos Ferreira: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guimaraes B welcome Pacos Ferreira to Academia Vitoria SC for a Liga 3 fixture on Sunday 11 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Guimaraes B are 5th, upper half, on 12 points after 9 matches; Pacos Ferreira are 8th (upper half) with 11. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Guimaraes B, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to AD Marco 09, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Pacos Ferreira, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with São João Ver, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Guimaraes B, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Pacos Ferreira.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guimaraes B 1.3 xG, Pacos Ferreira 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guimaraes B 42%, draw 23%, Pacos Ferreira 34%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Pacos Ferreira to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guimaraes B 1–1 Pacos Ferreira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guimaraes B42%fair 2.36 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Pacos Ferreira34%fair 2.91 · @3.10
2.40Expected goals
1.28Guimaraes B xG
1.12Pacos Ferreira xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Guimaraes B 1.3 – 1.1 Pacos Ferreira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guimaraes B to win✗
42%
2.36
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.75
Draw no bet
Guimaraes B (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Pacos Ferreira +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Guimaraes B to score first✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guimaraes B / FT Guimaraes B✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.00
–
Recent results
Guimaraes B – last 6
LDDWLW
12 Sep
@ AD Marco 09
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Trofense
0–0
D
21 Aug
@ Fafe
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Leça
2–0
W
7 Aug
@ Paredes
1–3
L
25 Jul
@ Chaves
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pacos Ferreira – last 6
DDDLLL
13 Sep
vs São João Ver
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Vianense
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Fafe
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Varzim
1–4
L
15 Aug
vs Paredes
0–1
L
9 Aug
@ AD Marco 09
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guimaraes B and Pacos Ferreira.
What is the prediction for Guimaraes B vs Pacos Ferreira?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Guimaraes B vs Pacos Ferreira?
On our numbers Guimaraes B have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pacos Ferreira 34%.
How many goals will there be in Guimaraes B vs Pacos Ferreira?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guimaraes B vs Pacos Ferreira?
Our predicted score is Guimaraes B 1–1 Pacos Ferreira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Guimaraes B vs Pacos Ferreira?
Guimaraes B vs Pacos Ferreira (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Academia Vitoria SC.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
