Value bet: CF Os Belenenses to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCF Os Belenenses to win ✗47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.70
Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Mafra v CF Os Belenenses in the Liga 3, played at Estadio Municipal de Mafra. In the table, Mafra are 5th, upper half, on 12 points after 9 matches; CF Os Belenenses are 1st (leading the league) with 21.
Current form
Mafra, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tirsense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
CF Os Belenenses, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Beira-Mar, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours CF Os Belenenses, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Mafra.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mafra 1.3 xG, CF Os Belenenses 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mafra 29%, draw 24%, CF Os Belenenses 47%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: CF Os Belenenses to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mafra 1–1 CF Os Belenenses. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mafra29%fair 3.42 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
CF Os Belenenses47%fair 2.15 · @2.30
2.90Expected goals
1.25Mafra xG
1.65CF Os Belenenses xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–27%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Mafra 1.3 – 1.6 CF Os Belenenses expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CF Os Belenenses to win✗
47%
2.15
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.75
Draw no bet
CF Os Belenenses (draw no bet)
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Mafra +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
CF Os Belenenses to score first✓
54%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CF Os Belenenses / FT CF Os Belenenses✗
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.70
–
Recent results
Mafra – last 6
DLWDLD
19 Sep
vs Tirsense
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Oliveirense
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs SC Covilha
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Atlético Malveira
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Lusitano Évora 1911
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Atlético CP
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CF Os Belenenses – last 6
WWWWWW
19 Sep
@ Beira-Mar
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Atlético CP
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Vitória de Sernache
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ Lusitano Évora 1911
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs União Santarém
5–0
W
15 Aug
@ Louletano
3–1
W
2.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mafra and CF Os Belenenses.
What is the prediction for Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses?
On our numbers Mafra have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CF Os Belenenses 47%.
How many goals will there be in Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses?
Our predicted score is Mafra 1–1 CF Os Belenenses, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses?
Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Mafra.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
