Value bet: SC Covilha to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOliveirense to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.36
SC Covilha vs Oliveirense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Saturday 10 October: SC Covilha v Oliveirense in the Liga 3. In the table, SC Covilha are 9th, upper half, on 7 points after 9 matches; Oliveirense are 3rd (among the top four) with 13.
Current form
SC Covilha, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Lusitano Évora 1911, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Oliveirense, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Penafiel, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Oliveirense, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for SC Covilha.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SC Covilha 1.2 xG, Oliveirense 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SC Covilha 36%, draw 24%, Oliveirense 40%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: SC Covilha to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: SC Covilha 1–1 Oliveirense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SC Covilha36%fair 2.78 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
Oliveirense40%fair 2.51 · @2.25
2.40Expected goals
1.16SC Covilha xG
1.24Oliveirense xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: SC Covilha 1.2 – 1.2 Oliveirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oliveirense to win✗
40%
2.51
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.85
Draw no bet
Oliveirense (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
SC Covilha +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Oliveirense to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oliveirense / FT Oliveirense✗
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.36
–
Recent results
SC Covilha – last 6
DLDLDW
12 Sep
@ Lusitano Évora 1911
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Mafra
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Mortágua
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Atlético CP
0–3
L
16 Aug
@ Vitória de Sernache
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs União Santarém
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Oliveirense – last 6
LWLWWD
19 Sep
vs Penafiel
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Mafra
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Atlético CP
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Penalva Castelo
4–0
W
23 Aug
vs Vitória de Sernache
3–2
W
14 Aug
@ União Santarém
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Covilha and Oliveirense.
What is the prediction for SC Covilha vs Oliveirense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win SC Covilha vs Oliveirense?
On our numbers SC Covilha have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oliveirense 40%.
How many goals will there be in SC Covilha vs Oliveirense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Covilha vs Oliveirense?
Our predicted score is SC Covilha 1–1 Oliveirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is SC Covilha vs Oliveirense?
SC Covilha vs Oliveirense (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
